Educational Development Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| EDUC Stock | USD 1.41 0.01 0.70% |
Educational Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Educational Development stock prices and determine the direction of Educational Development's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Educational Development's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Educational Development's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Educational Development, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.2 K | Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.37) |
Using Educational Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Educational Development from the perspective of Educational Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Educational Development on the next trading day is expected to be 1.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.24. Educational Development after-hype prediction price | USD 1.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Educational | Build AI portfolio with Educational Stock |
Educational Development Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Educational price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Educational using various technical indicators. When you analyze Educational charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Educational Development Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Educational Development on the next trading day is expected to be 1.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Educational Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Educational Development's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Educational Development Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Educational Development | Educational Development Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Educational Development Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Educational Development's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Educational Development's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.91, respectively. We have considered Educational Development's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Educational Development stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Educational Development stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.3778 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0209 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0156 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.235 |
Predictive Modules for Educational Development
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Educational Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Educational Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Educational Development After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Educational Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Educational Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Educational Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Educational Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Educational Development's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Educational Development's historical news coverage. Educational Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 3.91, respectively. We have considered Educational Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Educational Development is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Educational Development is based on 3 months time horizon.
Educational Development Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Educational Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Educational Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Educational Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.41 | 1.41 | 0.00 |
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Educational Development Hype Timeline
Educational Development is currently traded for 1.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Educational is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Educational Development is about 2136.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.40. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Educational Development last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 23rd of August 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Educational Development to cross-verify your projections.Educational Development Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Educational Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Educational Development's future price movements. Getting to know how Educational Development's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Educational Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEGG | Lottery | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 28.00 | (16.76) | 95.60 | |
| IQST | Iqstel Inc | 0.09 | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.92 | (9.77) | 29.00 | |
| CPOP | Pop Culture Group | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.14 | (7.50) | 31.15 | |
| PCLA | PicoCELA American Depositary | (2.19) | 4 per month | 8.95 | 0.03 | 8.56 | (17.06) | 228.24 | |
| XHLD | TEN Holdings Common | (0.02) | 4 per month | 9.55 | 0.05 | 22.57 | (16.93) | 204.72 | |
| KRKR | 36Kr Holdings | 0.55 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.37 | (8.51) | 27.42 | |
| TDIC | Dreamland Limited Class | 0.49 | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 21.43 | (17.39) | 66.21 | |
| DRCT | Direct Digital Holdings | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 11.11 | (17.27) | 95.20 | |
| TNMG | TNL Mediagene Ordinary | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 20.60 | (15.98) | 81.66 | |
| ZNB | Zeta Network Group | (0.01) | 6 per month | 8.32 | (0) | 12.90 | (11.11) | 90.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Educational Development
For every potential investor in Educational, whether a beginner or expert, Educational Development's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Educational Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Educational. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Educational Development's price trends.Educational Development Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Educational Development stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Educational Development could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Educational Development by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Educational Development Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Educational Development stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Educational Development shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Educational Development stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Educational Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Educational Development Risk Indicators
The analysis of Educational Development's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Educational Development's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting educational stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Variance | 8.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Educational Development
The number of cover stories for Educational Development depends on current market conditions and Educational Development's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Educational Development is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Educational Development's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Educational Development Short Properties
Educational Development's future price predictability will typically decrease when Educational Development's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Educational Development often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Educational Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Educational Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 428.4 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Educational Development to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Educational Stock refer to our How to Trade Educational Stock guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Will Distributors sector continue expanding? Could Educational diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Educational Development. Projected growth potential of Educational fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Educational Development data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.2 K | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.37) | Return On Assets |
Educational Development's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Educational's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Educational Development's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Educational Development's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Educational Development's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Educational Development should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Educational Development's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.