Excelerate Energy Stock Forward View
| EE Stock | USD 37.11 1.31 3.66% |
Excelerate Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Excelerate Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Excelerate Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Excelerate Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of relative strength index of Excelerate Energy's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.229 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.355 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3915 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0963 | Wall Street Target Price 37.4167 |
Using Excelerate Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Excelerate Energy from the perspective of Excelerate Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Excelerate Energy using Excelerate Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Excelerate using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Excelerate Energy's stock price.
Excelerate Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Excelerate Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Excelerate. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Excelerate Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 27.5208 | Short Percent 0.0544 | Short Ratio 4.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 30.3042 |
Excelerate Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Excelerate Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 34.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.78.Excelerate Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Excelerate Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Excelerate. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Excelerate can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Excelerate Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Excelerate Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Excelerate Energy.
Excelerate Energy Implied Volatility | 0.62 |
Excelerate Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Excelerate Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Excelerate Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Excelerate Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Excelerate Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Excelerate Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 34.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.78. Excelerate Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 36.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Excelerate | Build AI portfolio with Excelerate Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Excelerate contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Excelerate Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0388% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Excelerate Energy trading at USD 37.11, that is roughly USD 0.0144 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Excelerate Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Excelerate Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Excelerate Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Excelerate Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Excelerate Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Excelerate Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Excelerate Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Excelerate Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Excelerate Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Excelerate. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Excelerate Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Excelerate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Excelerate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Excelerate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Excelerate Energy Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Excelerate Energy's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-03-31 | Previous Quarter 426 M | Current Value 462.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 153.9 M |
Excelerate Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Excelerate Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 34.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Excelerate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Excelerate Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Excelerate Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Excelerate Energy | Excelerate Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Excelerate Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Excelerate Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Excelerate Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.89 and 36.86, respectively. We have considered Excelerate Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Excelerate Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Excelerate Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0563 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5125 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0171 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.7776 |
Predictive Modules for Excelerate Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Excelerate Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Excelerate Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Excelerate Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Excelerate Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Excelerate Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Excelerate Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Excelerate Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Excelerate Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Excelerate Energy's historical news coverage. Excelerate Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.08 and 38.00, respectively. We have considered Excelerate Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Excelerate Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Excelerate Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Excelerate Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Excelerate Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Excelerate Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Excelerate Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 1.98 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.11 | 36.04 | 0.67 |
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Excelerate Energy Hype Timeline
As of February 7, 2026 Excelerate Energy is listed for 37.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Excelerate is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Excelerate Energy is about 553.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.29. The company generated the yearly revenue of 851.44 M. Reported Net Income was 32.88 M with gross profit of 481.42 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Excelerate Energy to cross-verify your projections.Excelerate Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Excelerate Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Excelerate Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Excelerate Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Excelerate Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RNW | Renew Energy Global | (0.11) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.24 | (3.95) | 28.65 | |
| MGEE | MGE Energy | 1.56 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.41 | (1.66) | 4.52 | |
| AVA | Avista | (0.35) | 9 per month | 1.00 | 0.1 | 1.77 | (1.74) | 5.72 | |
| FLNC | Fluence Energy | 1.38 | 10 per month | 8.46 | 0.01 | 12.58 | (12.86) | 31.54 | |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities | (0.25) | 7 per month | 1.19 | (0.06) | 1.99 | (1.71) | 5.00 | |
| OTTR | Otter Tail | 3.13 | 7 per month | 0.99 | 0.07 | 2.02 | (1.87) | 7.91 | |
| AWR | American States Water | (0.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.53 | (1.87) | 5.99 | |
| CWT | California Water Service | (1.47) | 3 per month | 1.28 | (0.06) | 2.22 | (2.15) | 7.55 | |
| NWE | NorthWestern | (0.1) | 10 per month | 1.14 | 0.09 | 2.44 | (2.21) | 6.73 | |
| CEPU | Central Puerto SA | (0.1) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.09 | (4.23) | 13.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Excelerate Energy
For every potential investor in Excelerate, whether a beginner or expert, Excelerate Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Excelerate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Excelerate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Excelerate Energy's price trends.Excelerate Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Excelerate Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Excelerate Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Excelerate Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Excelerate Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Excelerate Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Excelerate Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Excelerate Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Excelerate Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13227.51 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.201835 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 37.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 37.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.67 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.31 |
Excelerate Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Excelerate Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Excelerate Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting excelerate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Variance | 4.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Excelerate Energy
The number of cover stories for Excelerate Energy depends on current market conditions and Excelerate Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Excelerate Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Excelerate Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Excelerate Energy Short Properties
Excelerate Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Excelerate Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Excelerate Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Excelerate Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Excelerate Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 581 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Excelerate Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Excelerate Stock refer to our How to Trade Excelerate Stock guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Will Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation sector continue expanding? Could Excelerate diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Excelerate Energy. Projected growth potential of Excelerate fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Excelerate Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.229 | Dividend Share 0.28 | Earnings Share 1.48 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.022 |
Investors evaluate Excelerate Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Excelerate Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Excelerate Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Excelerate Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Excelerate Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Excelerate Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.