Ellington Financial Stock Forward View - Relative Strength Index
| EFC Stock | USD 13.50 0.14 1.05% |
Ellington Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ellington Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Ellington Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ellington Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the RSI of Ellington Financial's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ellington Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.566 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4362 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8354 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8548 | Wall Street Target Price 14.625 |
Using Ellington Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ellington Financial from the perspective of Ellington Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ellington Financial using Ellington Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ellington using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ellington Financial's stock price.
Ellington Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ellington Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ellington. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ellington Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 13.2888 | Short Percent 0.038 | Short Ratio 1.94 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 13.722 |
Ellington Relative Strength Index
Ellington Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ellington Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ellington. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ellington can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ellington Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ellington Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ellington Financial.
Ellington Financial Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Ellington Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ellington Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ellington Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ellington Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ellington Financial's options are near their expiration.
Ellington Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 13.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ellington contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ellington Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Ellington Financial trading at USD 13.5, that is roughly USD 0.006834 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ellington Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ellington Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Ellington Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ellington Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ellington Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ellington Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ellington Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ellington Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ellington Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ellington. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ellington Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ellington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ellington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ellington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Relative Strength Index | Relative Strength Index | Trend |
| 48.12 | 48.12 |
| Check Ellington Financial Volatility | Backtest Ellington Financial | Information Ratio |
Ellington Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On January 30 2026 Ellington Financial was traded for 13.50 at the closing time. Highest Ellington Financial's price during the trading hours was 13.50 and the lowest price during the day was 13.36 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 30th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.04% . |
| Compare Ellington Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Ellington Financial
For every potential investor in Ellington, whether a beginner or expert, Ellington Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ellington Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ellington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ellington Financial's price trends.Ellington Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ellington Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ellington Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ellington Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ellington Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ellington Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ellington Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ellington Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ellington Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ellington Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ellington Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ellington Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ellington stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7458 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Variance | 1.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ellington Financial
The number of cover stories for Ellington Financial depends on current market conditions and Ellington Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ellington Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ellington Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ellington Financial Short Properties
Ellington Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ellington Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ellington Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ellington Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ellington Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 192.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ellington Financial to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ellington Stock refer to our How to Trade Ellington Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector continue expanding? Could Ellington diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ellington Financial. Projected growth potential of Ellington fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ellington Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.566 | Dividend Share 1.56 | Earnings Share 1.32 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.252 |
Investors evaluate Ellington Financial using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Ellington Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Ellington Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Ellington Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ellington Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Ellington Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.