Eiffage SA Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| EFGSY Stock | USD 17.49 0.28 1.58% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Eiffage SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 17.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.23. Eiffage Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Eiffage |
Eiffage SA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Eiffage SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 17.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eiffage Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eiffage SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Eiffage SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Eiffage SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Eiffage SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eiffage SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.77 and 19.89, respectively. We have considered Eiffage SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eiffage SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eiffage SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9859 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.266 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0141 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.2264 |
Predictive Modules for Eiffage SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eiffage SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eiffage SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Eiffage SA
For every potential investor in Eiffage, whether a beginner or expert, Eiffage SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eiffage Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eiffage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eiffage SA's price trends.View Eiffage SA Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Eiffage SA ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eiffage SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eiffage SA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Eiffage SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eiffage SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eiffage SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eiffage SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Eiffage SA ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Eiffage SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Eiffage SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eiffage SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eiffage pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Variance | 4.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Eiffage Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Eiffage SA's price analysis, check to measure Eiffage SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eiffage SA is operating at the current time. Most of Eiffage SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eiffage SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eiffage SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eiffage SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.