EastGroup Properties Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| EGP Stock | USD 177.56 1.00 0.56% |
EastGroup Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of EastGroup Properties' share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling EastGroup Properties, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using EastGroup Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EastGroup Properties from the perspective of EastGroup Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EastGroup Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 177.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.40. EastGroup Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 177.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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EastGroup Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EastGroup price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EastGroup using various technical indicators. When you analyze EastGroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EastGroup Properties Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EastGroup Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 177.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24, mean absolute percentage error of 2.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EastGroup Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EastGroup Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EastGroup Properties Stock Forecast Pattern
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EastGroup Properties Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EastGroup Properties' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EastGroup Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 176.81 and 178.62, respectively. We have considered EastGroup Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EastGroup Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EastGroup Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2131 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0713 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2401 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0069 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.4033 |
Predictive Modules for EastGroup Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EastGroup Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EastGroup Properties After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EastGroup Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EastGroup Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EastGroup Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EastGroup Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EastGroup Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EastGroup Properties' historical news coverage. EastGroup Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 176.65 and 178.47, respectively. We have considered EastGroup Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EastGroup Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EastGroup Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
EastGroup Properties Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EastGroup Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EastGroup Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EastGroup Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
177.56 | 177.56 | 0.00 |
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EastGroup Properties Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January EastGroup Properties is traded for 177.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EastGroup is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on EastGroup Properties is about 8088.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 177.56. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of EastGroup Properties was currently reported as 65.88. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. EastGroup Properties had 3:2 split on the 8th of April 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EastGroup Properties to cross-verify your projections.EastGroup Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EastGroup Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EastGroup Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how EastGroup Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EastGroup Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REXR | Rexford Industrial Realty | (0.03) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.08 | (1.96) | 6.35 | |
| CUBE | CubeSmart | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.79 | (2.04) | 4.49 | |
| LINE | Lineage Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.58 | (3.67) | 11.98 | |
| FR | First Industrial Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | (0.03) | 1.90 | (1.43) | 4.65 | |
| STAG | STAG Industrial | (0.03) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.09 | (1.35) | 3.62 | |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.20 | (0.03) | 3.28 | (4.24) | 14.63 | |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp | (0.03) | 11 per month | 0.47 | 0.24 | 1.97 | (1.23) | 4.40 | |
| FRT | Federal Realty Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.03 | 1.58 | (1.13) | 4.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for EastGroup Properties
For every potential investor in EastGroup, whether a beginner or expert, EastGroup Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EastGroup Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EastGroup. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EastGroup Properties' price trends.EastGroup Properties Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EastGroup Properties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EastGroup Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EastGroup Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EastGroup Properties Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EastGroup Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EastGroup Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EastGroup Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EastGroup Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5918.85 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.29) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 178.85 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 178.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.79) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 46.15 |
EastGroup Properties Risk Indicators
The analysis of EastGroup Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EastGroup Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eastgroup stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6964 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9074 | |||
| Variance | 0.8234 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8138 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7225 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.74) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for EastGroup Properties
The number of cover stories for EastGroup Properties depends on current market conditions and EastGroup Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EastGroup Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EastGroup Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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EastGroup Properties Short Properties
EastGroup Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when EastGroup Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EastGroup Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EastGroup Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EastGroup Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.5 M |
Additional Tools for EastGroup Stock Analysis
When running EastGroup Properties' price analysis, check to measure EastGroup Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EastGroup Properties is operating at the current time. Most of EastGroup Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EastGroup Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EastGroup Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EastGroup Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.