Eche Izquierdo Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| EISA Stock | CLP 465.36 0.00 0.00% |
Eche Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Eche Izquierdo's share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eche Izquierdo, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Eche Izquierdo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eche Izquierdo from the perspective of Eche Izquierdo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eche Izquierdo on the next trading day is expected to be 465.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 123.28. Eche Izquierdo after-hype prediction price | CLP 465.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Eche |
Eche Izquierdo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eche price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eche using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eche charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Eche Izquierdo Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eche Izquierdo on the next trading day is expected to be 465.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05, mean absolute percentage error of 12.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 123.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eche Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eche Izquierdo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Eche Izquierdo Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Eche Izquierdo | Eche Izquierdo Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Eche Izquierdo Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Eche Izquierdo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eche Izquierdo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 464.64 and 466.08, respectively. We have considered Eche Izquierdo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eche Izquierdo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eche Izquierdo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7967 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1521 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0546 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0045 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 123.2778 |
Predictive Modules for Eche Izquierdo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eche Izquierdo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Eche Izquierdo After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eche Izquierdo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eche Izquierdo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eche Izquierdo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eche Izquierdo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eche Izquierdo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eche Izquierdo's historical news coverage. Eche Izquierdo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 464.64 and 466.08, respectively. We have considered Eche Izquierdo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eche Izquierdo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eche Izquierdo is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eche Izquierdo Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eche Izquierdo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eche Izquierdo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eche Izquierdo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
465.36 | 465.36 | 0.00 |
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Eche Izquierdo Hype Timeline
Eche Izquierdo is currently traded for 465.36on Chilean Stock Exchange of Chile. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eche is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eche Izquierdo is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 465.36. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eche Izquierdo recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.08. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eche Izquierdo to cross-verify your projections.Eche Izquierdo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eche Izquierdo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eche Izquierdo's future price movements. Getting to know how Eche Izquierdo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eche Izquierdo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EISA | Eche Izquierdo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.34 | (1.25) | 4.67 | |
| AGUAS-A | Aguas Andinas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | (0.04) | 1.67 | (1.90) | 5.81 | |
| PARAUCO | Parq Arauco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.20 | 4.63 | (2.90) | 9.64 | |
| ENELGXCH | Enel Generacin Chile | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | (0.02) | 1.25 | (1.33) | 4.82 | |
| SMSAAM | Sociedad Matriz SAAM | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.01 | 2.03 | (2.11) | 6.27 | |
| ESPANOLA | Compania De Inversiones | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CALICHERAA | Sociedad De Inversiones | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ENTEL | Empresa Nacional de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.53 | (4.57) | 19.52 | |
| CALICHERAB | Sociedad De Inversiones | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Eche Izquierdo
For every potential investor in Eche, whether a beginner or expert, Eche Izquierdo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eche Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eche. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eche Izquierdo's price trends.Eche Izquierdo Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eche Izquierdo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eche Izquierdo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eche Izquierdo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Eche Izquierdo Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eche Izquierdo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eche Izquierdo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eche Izquierdo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eche Izquierdo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 465.36 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 465.36 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.83 |
Eche Izquierdo Risk Indicators
The analysis of Eche Izquierdo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eche Izquierdo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eche stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4673 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8273 | |||
| Variance | 0.6844 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Eche Izquierdo
The number of cover stories for Eche Izquierdo depends on current market conditions and Eche Izquierdo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eche Izquierdo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eche Izquierdo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Eche Stock
Eche Izquierdo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eche Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eche with respect to the benefits of owning Eche Izquierdo security.