Estee Lauder Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index
| EL Stock | USD 114.62 1.82 1.56% |
Estee Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Estee Lauder's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Estee Lauder's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Estee Lauder fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Estee Lauder's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Estee Lauder, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8041 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1699 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9418 | Wall Street Target Price 109.5833 |
Using Estee Lauder hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Estee Lauder Companies from the perspective of Estee Lauder response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Estee Lauder using Estee Lauder's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Estee using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Estee Lauder's stock price.
Estee Lauder Short Interest
An investor who is long Estee Lauder may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Estee Lauder and may potentially protect profits, hedge Estee Lauder with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 87.1106 | Short Percent 0.0435 | Short Ratio 2.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 9 M | 50 Day MA 104.4376 |
Estee Relative Strength Index
Estee Lauder Companies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Estee Lauder's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Estee. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Estee can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Estee Lauder Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Estee Lauder's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Estee Lauder.
Estee Lauder Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Estee Lauder's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Estee Lauder Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Estee Lauder's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Estee Lauder stock will not fluctuate a lot when Estee Lauder's options are near their expiration.
Estee Lauder after-hype prediction price | USD 114.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Estee Lauder to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Estee contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Estee Lauder Companies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Estee Lauder trading at USD 114.62, that is roughly USD 0.0373 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Estee Lauder's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Estee Lauder Companies options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Estee Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Estee Lauder's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Estee Lauder's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Estee Lauder stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Estee Lauder's open interest, investors have to compare it to Estee Lauder's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Estee Lauder is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Estee. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Estee Lauder Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Estee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Estee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Estee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Relative Strength Index | Relative Strength Index | Trend |
| 57.82 | 57.82 |
| Check Estee Lauder Volatility | Backtest Estee Lauder | Information Ratio |
Estee Lauder Trading Date Momentum
| On January 28 2026 Estee Lauder Companies was traded for 114.62 at the closing time. The highest price during the trading period was 118.00 and the lowest recorded bid was listed for 114.39 . The volume for the day was 3.4 M. This history from January 28, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to the current price is 1.54% . |
| Compare Estee Lauder to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Estee Lauder
For every potential investor in Estee, whether a beginner or expert, Estee Lauder's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Estee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Estee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Estee Lauder's price trends.Estee Lauder Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Estee Lauder stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Estee Lauder could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Estee Lauder by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Estee Lauder Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Estee Lauder stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Estee Lauder shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Estee Lauder stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Estee Lauder Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 104230.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 116.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 115.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.48) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.82) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.82 |
Estee Lauder Risk Indicators
The analysis of Estee Lauder's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Estee Lauder's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting estee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Variance | 4.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Estee Lauder
The number of cover stories for Estee Lauder depends on current market conditions and Estee Lauder's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Estee Lauder is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Estee Lauder's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Estee Lauder Short Properties
Estee Lauder's future price predictability will typically decrease when Estee Lauder's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Estee Lauder Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Estee Lauder's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Estee Lauder's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 360.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Estee Lauder to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Estee Lauder. Projected growth potential of Estee fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Estee Lauder assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share (2.58) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.036 |
The market value of Estee Lauder Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Estee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Estee Lauder's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Estee Lauder's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Estee Lauder's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Estee Lauder's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Estee Lauder's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Estee Lauder should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Estee Lauder's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.