ELEn SpA OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ELEAF Stock  USD 12.52  0.00  0.00%   
ELEn OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ELEn SpA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026 the value of rsi of ELEn SpA's share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
ELEn SpA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of ELEn SpA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of ELEn SpA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ELEn SpA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ELEn SpA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ELEn SpA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ELEn SpA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using ELEn SpA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ELEn SpA from the perspective of ELEn SpA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ELEn SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

ELEn SpA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ELEn SpA to cross-verify your projections.

ELEn SpA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ELEn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ELEn using various technical indicators. When you analyze ELEn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
ELEn SpA polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for ELEn SpA as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

ELEn SpA Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ELEn SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ELEn OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ELEn SpA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ELEn SpA OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ELEn SpA  ELEn SpA Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

ELEn SpA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ELEn SpA's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ELEn SpA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.52 and 12.52, respectively. We have considered ELEn SpA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.52
12.52
Expected Value
12.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ELEn SpA otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ELEn SpA otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria58.0688
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the ELEn SpA historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for ELEn SpA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ELEn SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5212.5212.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5212.5212.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.5212.5212.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ELEn SpA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ELEn SpA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ELEn SpA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ELEn SpA.

ELEn SpA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ELEn SpA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ELEn SpA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of ELEn SpA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ELEn SpA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ELEn SpA's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ELEn SpA's historical news coverage. ELEn SpA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.52 and 12.52, respectively. We have considered ELEn SpA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.52
12.52
After-hype Price
12.52
Upside
ELEn SpA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ELEn SpA is based on 3 months time horizon.

ELEn SpA OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as ELEn SpA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ELEn SpA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ELEn SpA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.52
12.52
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

ELEn SpA Hype Timeline

ELEn SpA is currently traded for 12.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ELEn is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on ELEn SpA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.52. About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of ELEn SpA was currently reported as 3.53. The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2022. ELEn SpA had 4:1 split on the 2nd of August 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ELEn SpA to cross-verify your projections.

ELEn SpA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ELEn SpA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ELEn SpA's future price movements. Getting to know how ELEn SpA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ELEn SpA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for ELEn SpA

For every potential investor in ELEn, whether a beginner or expert, ELEn SpA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ELEn OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ELEn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ELEn SpA's price trends.

ELEn SpA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ELEn SpA otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ELEn SpA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ELEn SpA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ELEn SpA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ELEn SpA otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ELEn SpA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ELEn SpA otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ELEn SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for ELEn SpA

The number of cover stories for ELEn SpA depends on current market conditions and ELEn SpA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ELEn SpA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ELEn SpA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in ELEn OTC Stock

ELEn SpA financial ratios help investors to determine whether ELEn OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ELEn with respect to the benefits of owning ELEn SpA security.