ELEn SpA OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ELEAF Stock  USD 12.52  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ELEn SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. ELEn OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ELEn SpA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for ELEn SpA - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When ELEn SpA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in ELEn SpA price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of ELEn SpA.

ELEn SpA Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ELEn SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 12.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ELEn OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ELEn SpA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ELEn SpA OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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ELEn SpA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ELEn SpA's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ELEn SpA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.52 and 12.52, respectively. We have considered ELEn SpA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.52
12.52
Expected Value
12.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ELEn SpA otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ELEn SpA otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past ELEn SpA observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older ELEn SpA observations.

Predictive Modules for ELEn SpA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ELEn SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5212.5212.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5212.5212.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.5212.5212.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ELEn SpA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ELEn SpA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ELEn SpA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ELEn SpA.

Other Forecasting Options for ELEn SpA

For every potential investor in ELEn, whether a beginner or expert, ELEn SpA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ELEn OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ELEn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ELEn SpA's price trends.

ELEn SpA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ELEn SpA otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ELEn SpA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ELEn SpA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ELEn SpA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ELEn SpA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ELEn SpA's current price.

ELEn SpA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ELEn SpA otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ELEn SpA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ELEn SpA otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ELEn SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in ELEn OTC Stock

ELEn SpA financial ratios help investors to determine whether ELEn OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ELEn with respect to the benefits of owning ELEn SpA security.