Emera Incorporated Stock Forward View
| EMA Stock | 50.21 0.12 0.24% |
Emera Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Emera Incorporated stock prices and determine the direction of Emera Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Emera Incorporated's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Emera Incorporated's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 75 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4529 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.5407 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5378 | Wall Street Target Price 62.5 |
Using Emera Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Emera Incorporated from the perspective of Emera Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Emera Incorporated using Emera Incorporated's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Emera using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Emera Incorporated's stock price.
Emera Incorporated Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Emera Incorporated's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Emera. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Emera Incorporated stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 46.9941 | Short Ratio 20.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 2 M | 50 Day MA 48.7644 | Shares Short 1.7 M |
Emera Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Emera Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 50.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.24.Emera Incorporated Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Emera Incorporated's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Emera. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Emera can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Emera Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Emera Incorporated's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Emera Incorporated.
Emera Incorporated Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
Emera Incorporated's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Emera Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Emera Incorporated's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Emera Incorporated stock will not fluctuate a lot when Emera Incorporated's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Emera Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 50.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.24. Emera Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 50.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Emera Incorporated to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Emera Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Emera Incorporated's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Emera Incorporated's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Emera Incorporated stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Emera Incorporated's open interest, investors have to compare it to Emera Incorporated's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Emera Incorporated is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Emera. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Emera Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Emera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Emera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Emera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Emera Incorporated Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Emera Incorporated's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1999-12-31 | Previous Quarter 200 M | Current Value 212 M | Quarterly Volatility 500.5 M |
Emera Incorporated Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Emera Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 50.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Emera Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Emera Incorporated's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Emera Incorporated Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Emera Incorporated | Emera Incorporated Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Emera Incorporated Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Emera Incorporated's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Emera Incorporated's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.94 and 51.76, respectively. We have considered Emera Incorporated's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Emera Incorporated stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Emera Incorporated stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.65 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4232 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0088 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.2413 |
Predictive Modules for Emera Incorporated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emera Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Emera Incorporated After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Emera Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Emera Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Emera Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Emera Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Emera Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Emera Incorporated's historical news coverage. Emera Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.26 and 51.08, respectively. We have considered Emera Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Emera Incorporated is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Emera Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Emera Incorporated Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Emera Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Emera Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Emera Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 0.91 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.21 | 50.17 | 0.08 |
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Emera Incorporated Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Emera Incorporated is traded for 50.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Emera is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 50.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Emera Incorporated is about 7000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.21. About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Emera Incorporated has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.08. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. The firm had 1:10 split on the 3rd of November 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Emera Incorporated to cross-verify your projections.Emera Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Emera Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Emera Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Emera Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Emera Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | (0.29) | 11 per month | 0.98 | (0.03) | 1.47 | (1.38) | 4.28 | |
| EVRG | Evergy | 0.38 | 8 per month | 0.92 | (0.01) | 1.30 | (1.31) | 4.29 | |
| SRE | Sempra Energy | (2.82) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.52 | (2.76) | 6.43 | |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital | 0.77 | 8 per month | 0.72 | 0.1 | 1.96 | (1.14) | 4.17 | |
| OGE | OGE Energy | 0.97 | 11 per month | 0.89 | (0.04) | 1.36 | (1.46) | 3.57 | |
| WTRG | Essential Utilities | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.17 | (2.28) | 6.73 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | 0.98 | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.06 | 1.66 | (1.35) | 4.65 | |
| FRMI | Fermi Inc | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 10.25 | (13.43) | 45.88 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.30 | 9 per month | 1.08 | (0.05) | 1.32 | (1.44) | 5.00 | |
| SBS | Companhia de Saneamento | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.99 | 0.08 | 3.76 | (4.23) | 10.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Emera Incorporated
For every potential investor in Emera, whether a beginner or expert, Emera Incorporated's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Emera Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Emera. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Emera Incorporated's price trends.Emera Incorporated Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Emera Incorporated stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Emera Incorporated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Emera Incorporated by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Emera Incorporated Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Emera Incorporated stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Emera Incorporated shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Emera Incorporated stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Emera Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2902.66 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.21) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 50.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 50.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.27) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
Emera Incorporated Risk Indicators
The analysis of Emera Incorporated's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Emera Incorporated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting emera stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6667 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7715 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8738 | |||
| Variance | 0.7635 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7487 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5952 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.71) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Emera Incorporated
The number of cover stories for Emera Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Emera Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Emera Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Emera Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Emera Incorporated Short Properties
Emera Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Emera Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Emera Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Emera Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Emera Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 289 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 196 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Emera Incorporated to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Emera Stock refer to our How to Trade Emera Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Utilities - Regulated Electric space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Emera Incorporated. Projected growth potential of Emera fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Emera Incorporated assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 75 | Dividend Share 2.9 | Earnings Share 2.67 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.169 |
Emera Incorporated's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Emera's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Emera Incorporated's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Emera Incorporated's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Emera Incorporated's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Emera Incorporated should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Emera Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.