Fermi Inc Stock Price Prediction
| FRMI Stock | 9.80 0.60 6.52% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fermi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fermi Inc from the perspective of Fermi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fermi using Fermi's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fermi using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fermi's stock price.
Fermi Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Fermi's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Fermi. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Fermi stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.7093 | Shares Short Prior Month 20.1 M | Shares Short 21.6 M |
Fermi Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fermi's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fermi. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fermi can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fermi Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fermi's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fermi.
Fermi Implied Volatility | 1.52 |
Fermi's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fermi Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fermi's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fermi stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fermi's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fermi to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fermi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fermi after-hype prediction price | USD 10.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fermi contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fermi Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.095% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Fermi trading at USD 9.8, that is roughly USD 0.00931 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fermi's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fermi Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Fermi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Fermi After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fermi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fermi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fermi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fermi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fermi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fermi's historical news coverage. Fermi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.44 and 18.62, respectively. We have considered Fermi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fermi is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fermi Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fermi Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fermi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fermi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fermi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.06 | 8.59 | 0.23 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.80 | 10.03 | 2.35 |
|
Fermi Hype Timeline
Fermi Inc is currently traded for 9.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Fermi is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.35%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.06%. The volatility of related hype on Fermi is about 24542.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.76. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Fermi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fermi Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fermi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fermi's future price movements. Getting to know how Fermi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fermi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | (0.70) | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.19 | (1.29) | 4.27 | |
| EVRG | Evergy | (0.04) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.09 | (1.31) | 4.29 | |
| SRE | Sempra Energy | (0.70) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.52 | (2.76) | 6.43 | |
| EMA | Emera Incorporated | (0.20) | 11 per month | 0.78 | (0.05) | 1.35 | (1.21) | 4.23 | |
| DUK | Duke Energy | 0.91 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.23 | (1.39) | 4.59 | |
| OKLO | Oklo Inc | 0.11 | 32 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.42 | (12.33) | 30.72 | |
| AQNB | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.12 | (0.16) | 0.40 | (0.39) | 1.25 | |
| SBS | Companhia de Saneamento | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.98 | 0.04 | 3.48 | (4.23) | 10.23 | |
| SO | Southern Company | 0.24 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.10 | (1.81) | 4.07 | |
| BIP | Brookfield Infrastructure Partners | (0.04) | 9 per month | 1.05 | (0.04) | 1.57 | (1.59) | 5.53 |
Fermi Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fermi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fermi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fermi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fermi Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fermi stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fermi Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fermi based on analysis of Fermi hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fermi's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fermi's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for Fermi Stock analysis
When running Fermi's price analysis, check to measure Fermi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fermi is operating at the current time. Most of Fermi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fermi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fermi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fermi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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