Element 29 OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| EMTRF Stock | USD 0.38 0.03 8.57% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Element 29 Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.59. Element OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Element 29's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Element |
Element 29 Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Element 29 Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Element OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Element 29's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Element 29 OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Element 29 | Element 29 Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Element 29 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Element 29's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Element 29's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.32, respectively. We have considered Element 29's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Element 29 otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Element 29 otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.0368 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0028 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0098 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0339 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.59 |
Predictive Modules for Element 29
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Element 29 Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Element 29
For every potential investor in Element, whether a beginner or expert, Element 29's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Element OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Element. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Element 29's price trends.Element 29 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Element 29 otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Element 29 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Element 29 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Element 29 Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Element 29's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Element 29's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Element 29 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Element 29 otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Element 29 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Element 29 otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Element 29 Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Element 29 Risk Indicators
The analysis of Element 29's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Element 29's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting element otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.81 | |||
| Variance | 33.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 42.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Element OTC Stock
Element 29 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Element OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Element with respect to the benefits of owning Element 29 security.