Enel Chile Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ENIC Stock | USD 4.45 0.07 1.60% |
Enel Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Enel Chile stock prices and determine the direction of Enel Chile SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Enel Chile's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Enel Chile's stock price is about 68 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Enel, making its price go up or down. Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | EPS Estimate Current Year 347.8065 | EPS Estimate Next Year 342.581 | Wall Street Target Price 4.2909 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
Using Enel Chile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enel Chile SA from the perspective of Enel Chile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Enel Chile using Enel Chile's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Enel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Enel Chile's stock price.
Enel Chile Implied Volatility | 1.71 |
Enel Chile's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Enel Chile SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Enel Chile's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Enel Chile stock will not fluctuate a lot when Enel Chile's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enel Chile SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.78. Enel Chile after-hype prediction price | USD 4.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enel Chile to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Enel Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Enel Chile's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Enel Chile's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Enel Chile stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Enel Chile's open interest, investors have to compare it to Enel Chile's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Enel Chile is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Enel. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Enel Chile Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Enel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Enel Chile Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Enel Chile SA on the next trading day is expected to be 4.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enel Chile's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Enel Chile Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Enel Chile | Enel Chile Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Enel Chile Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Enel Chile's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Enel Chile's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.89 and 6.00, respectively. We have considered Enel Chile's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enel Chile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enel Chile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.6699 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0144 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0464 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0118 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.7817 |
Predictive Modules for Enel Chile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enel Chile SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Enel Chile After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Enel Chile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enel Chile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Enel Chile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Enel Chile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Enel Chile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enel Chile's historical news coverage. Enel Chile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.81 and 5.91, respectively. We have considered Enel Chile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Enel Chile is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enel Chile SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Enel Chile Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enel Chile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enel Chile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enel Chile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.56 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.45 | 4.36 | 0.46 |
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Enel Chile Hype Timeline
Enel Chile SA is currently traded for 4.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Enel is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Enel Chile is about 587.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.52. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Enel Chile SA last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enel Chile to cross-verify your projections.Enel Chile Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Enel Chile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enel Chile's future price movements. Getting to know how Enel Chile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enel Chile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EBR-B | Centrais Eltricas Brasileiras | 0.1 | 8 per month | 4.47 | 0.09 | 5.25 | (3.48) | 31.49 | |
| KEP | Korea Electric Power | 0.30 | 7 per month | 2.32 | 0.15 | 6.12 | (4.09) | 17.60 | |
| CEPU | Central Puerto SA | (0.26) | 10 per month | 1.95 | 0.16 | 7.75 | (4.23) | 44.62 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.27 | (1.56) | 5.00 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | (1.50) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.42 | (1.60) | 4.65 | |
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.97 | 0.31 | 3.69 | (1.88) | 7.18 | |
| EDN | Empresa Distribuidora y | 1.63 | 5 per month | 3.03 | 0.14 | 10.26 | (5.43) | 43.13 | |
| GNE | Genie Energy | 0.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.47 | (3.11) | 7.14 | |
| ETI-P | Entergy Texas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | (0.01) | 1.48 | (1.32) | 3.69 | |
| MGEE | MGE Energy | 1.56 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.58 | (1.90) | 4.52 | |
| HE | Hawaiian Electric Industries | 1.04 | 8 per month | 1.92 | 0.11 | 4.47 | (3.43) | 12.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Enel Chile
For every potential investor in Enel, whether a beginner or expert, Enel Chile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Enel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Enel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Enel Chile's price trends.Enel Chile Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Enel Chile stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Enel Chile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Enel Chile by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Enel Chile Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Enel Chile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Enel Chile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Enel Chile stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Enel Chile SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Enel Chile Risk Indicators
The analysis of Enel Chile's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Enel Chile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Enel Chile
The number of cover stories for Enel Chile depends on current market conditions and Enel Chile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enel Chile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enel Chile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Enel Chile Short Properties
Enel Chile's future price predictability will typically decrease when Enel Chile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Enel Chile SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Enel Chile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enel Chile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 394.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enel Chile to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Enel Chile. If investors know Enel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Enel Chile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Dividend Share 0.004 | Earnings Share 0.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Enel Chile SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Enel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Enel Chile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Enel Chile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Enel Chile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Enel Chile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enel Chile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Enel Chile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enel Chile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.