Mge Energy Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 92.06 93.63 114.55 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 100.37 101.94 103.51 Details

1 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 62.34 68.50 76.04 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.89 0.89 0.89 Details

MGE Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

MGE Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

MGE Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.32	1.57	0.15	0.27	8 Events / Month	9 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
104.75	104.29	0.14	327.08   Notes

MGE Energy Hype Timeline

MGE Energy is now traded for 104.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.27. MGE is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 104.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on MGE Energy is about 188.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 105.02. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 690.43 M. Net Income was 117.7 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 244.47 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out MGE Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade MGE Stock refer to our How to Trade MGE Stock guide.

MGE Energy Related Hype Analysis

MGE Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MGE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MGE using various technical indicators. When you analyze MGE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of MGE Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MGE Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MGE Energy based on analysis of MGE Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for MGE Energy depends on current market conditions and MGE Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MGE Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MGE Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

MGE Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when MGE Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MGE Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MGE Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MGE Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running MGE Energy's price analysis, check to measure MGE Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MGE Energy is operating at the current time. Most of MGE Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MGE Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MGE Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MGE Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.