Equity Residential Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| EQR Stock | USD 60.76 1.39 2.24% |
Equity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Equity Residential's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Equity Residential, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Equity Residential hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Equity Residential from the perspective of Equity Residential response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Equity Residential on the next trading day is expected to be 61.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.54. Equity Residential after-hype prediction price | USD 60.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Equity Residential to cross-verify your projections. Equity Residential Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Equity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Equity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Equity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Equity Residential Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Equity Residential on the next trading day is expected to be 61.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Equity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Equity Residential's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Equity Residential Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Equity Residential | Equity Residential Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Equity Residential Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Equity Residential's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Equity Residential's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.45 and 62.78, respectively. We have considered Equity Residential's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Equity Residential stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Equity Residential stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4902 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6318 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.5408 |
Predictive Modules for Equity Residential
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity Residential. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Equity Residential After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Equity Residential at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Equity Residential or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Equity Residential, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Equity Residential Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Equity Residential's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Equity Residential's historical news coverage. Equity Residential's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.60 and 61.92, respectively. We have considered Equity Residential's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Equity Residential is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Equity Residential is based on 3 months time horizon.
Equity Residential Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Equity Residential is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Equity Residential backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Equity Residential, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
60.76 | 60.76 | 0.00 |
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Equity Residential Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Equity Residential is traded for 60.76. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Equity is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Equity Residential is about 104400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.76. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Equity Residential was currently reported as 29.08. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. Equity Residential had 2:1 split on the 12th of October 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Equity Residential to cross-verify your projections.Equity Residential Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Equity Residential's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Equity Residential's future price movements. Getting to know how Equity Residential's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Equity Residential may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | (0.06) | 1.92 | (1.79) | 5.11 | |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.87 | (2.16) | 5.05 | |
| SBAC | SBA Communications Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.71 | (2.93) | 6.38 | |
| MAA | Mid America Apartment Communities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | (0) | 2.05 | (1.68) | 5.24 | |
| INVH | Invitation Homes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.07 | (2.09) | 8.31 | |
| EXR | Extra Space Storage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | (0.01) | 2.50 | (1.88) | 5.57 | |
| SUI | Sun Communities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | (0.03) | 2.21 | (1.98) | 6.28 | |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.52 | 0.22 | 2.39 | (1.08) | 5.24 | |
| AMH | American Homes 4 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.00 | (2.05) | 7.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Equity Residential
For every potential investor in Equity, whether a beginner or expert, Equity Residential's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Equity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Equity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Equity Residential's price trends.Equity Residential Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Equity Residential stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Equity Residential could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Equity Residential by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Equity Residential Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Equity Residential stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Equity Residential shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Equity Residential stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Equity Residential entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 70861.39 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.76) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 61.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 61.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.48) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.39) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.02 |
Equity Residential Risk Indicators
The analysis of Equity Residential's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Equity Residential's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting equity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8684 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Variance | 1.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Equity Residential
The number of cover stories for Equity Residential depends on current market conditions and Equity Residential's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Equity Residential is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Equity Residential's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Equity Residential Short Properties
Equity Residential's future price predictability will typically decrease when Equity Residential's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Equity Residential often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Equity Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 390.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.3 M |
Additional Tools for Equity Stock Analysis
When running Equity Residential's price analysis, check to measure Equity Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equity Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Equity Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equity Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equity Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equity Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.