Eurofins Scientific Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

ERFSF Stock  USD 48.45  0.91  1.91%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Eurofins Scientific SE on the next trading day is expected to be 48.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.54. Eurofins Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eurofins Scientific's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Eurofins Scientific is based on an artificially constructed time series of Eurofins Scientific daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Eurofins Scientific 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Eurofins Scientific SE on the next trading day is expected to be 48.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.26, mean absolute percentage error of 9.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eurofins Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eurofins Scientific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eurofins Scientific Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Eurofins Scientific Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eurofins Scientific's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eurofins Scientific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.56 and 52.64, respectively. We have considered Eurofins Scientific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
48.45
48.60
Expected Value
52.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eurofins Scientific pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eurofins Scientific pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.6111
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7844
MADMean absolute deviation2.2555
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0422
SAESum of the absolute errors119.5412
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Eurofins Scientific SE 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Eurofins Scientific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eurofins Scientific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eurofins Scientific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.4148.4552.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.9541.9953.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
46.1848.4050.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eurofins Scientific

For every potential investor in Eurofins, whether a beginner or expert, Eurofins Scientific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eurofins Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eurofins. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eurofins Scientific's price trends.

Eurofins Scientific Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eurofins Scientific pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eurofins Scientific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eurofins Scientific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eurofins Scientific Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eurofins Scientific's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eurofins Scientific's current price.

Eurofins Scientific Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eurofins Scientific pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eurofins Scientific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eurofins Scientific pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Eurofins Scientific SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eurofins Scientific Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eurofins Scientific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eurofins Scientific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eurofins pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Eurofins Pink Sheet

Eurofins Scientific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eurofins Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eurofins with respect to the benefits of owning Eurofins Scientific security.