Telefonaktiebolaget Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ERIC Stock | USD 10.89 0.01 0.09% |
Telefonaktiebolaget Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Telefonaktiebolaget stock prices and determine the direction of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Telefonaktiebolaget's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Telefonaktiebolaget's stock price is about 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Telefonaktiebolaget, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.792 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0967 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.704 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6388 | Wall Street Target Price 9.898 |
Using Telefonaktiebolaget hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson from the perspective of Telefonaktiebolaget response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Telefonaktiebolaget using Telefonaktiebolaget's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Telefonaktiebolaget using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Telefonaktiebolaget's stock price.
Telefonaktiebolaget Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Telefonaktiebolaget's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Telefonaktiebolaget. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Telefonaktiebolaget stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 8.6703 | Short Percent 0.0147 | Short Ratio 6.24 | Shares Short Prior Month 45 M | 50 Day MA 9.6496 |
Telefonaktiebolaget Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson on the next trading day is expected to be 10.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.42.Telefonaktiebolaget Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Telefonaktiebolaget's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Telefonaktiebolaget. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Telefonaktiebolaget can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Telefonaktiebolaget's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Telefonaktiebolaget.
Telefonaktiebolaget Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
Telefonaktiebolaget's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Telefonaktiebolaget's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Telefonaktiebolaget stock will not fluctuate a lot when Telefonaktiebolaget's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson on the next trading day is expected to be 10.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.42. Telefonaktiebolaget after-hype prediction price | USD 10.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Telefonaktiebolaget | Build AI portfolio with Telefonaktiebolaget Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Telefonaktiebolaget contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0381% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Telefonaktiebolaget trading at USD 10.89, that is roughly USD 0.004152 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Telefonaktiebolaget's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson options at the current volatility level of 0.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Telefonaktiebolaget Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Telefonaktiebolaget's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Telefonaktiebolaget's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Telefonaktiebolaget stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Telefonaktiebolaget's open interest, investors have to compare it to Telefonaktiebolaget's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Telefonaktiebolaget is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Telefonaktiebolaget. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Telefonaktiebolaget Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Telefonaktiebolaget price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telefonaktiebolaget using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telefonaktiebolaget charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Telefonaktiebolaget Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson on the next trading day is expected to be 10.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telefonaktiebolaget Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telefonaktiebolaget's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Telefonaktiebolaget Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Telefonaktiebolaget | Telefonaktiebolaget Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Telefonaktiebolaget Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Telefonaktiebolaget's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Telefonaktiebolaget's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.05 and 12.73, respectively. We have considered Telefonaktiebolaget's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telefonaktiebolaget stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telefonaktiebolaget stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2388 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0236 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1258 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0127 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.42 |
Predictive Modules for Telefonaktiebolaget
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telefonaktiebolaget. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Telefonaktiebolaget After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Telefonaktiebolaget at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Telefonaktiebolaget or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Telefonaktiebolaget, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Telefonaktiebolaget Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Telefonaktiebolaget's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Telefonaktiebolaget's historical news coverage. Telefonaktiebolaget's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.04 and 12.72, respectively. We have considered Telefonaktiebolaget's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Telefonaktiebolaget is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Telefonaktiebolaget is based on 3 months time horizon.
Telefonaktiebolaget Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Telefonaktiebolaget is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Telefonaktiebolaget backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Telefonaktiebolaget, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.89 | 10.88 | 0.00 |
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Telefonaktiebolaget Hype Timeline
Telefonaktiebolaget is currently traded for 10.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Telefonaktiebolaget is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Telefonaktiebolaget is about 1688.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.88. The book value of the company was currently reported as 30.79. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2025. Telefonaktiebolaget had 2:1 split on the 10th of June 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telefonaktiebolaget to cross-verify your projections.Telefonaktiebolaget Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Telefonaktiebolaget's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Telefonaktiebolaget's future price movements. Getting to know how Telefonaktiebolaget's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Telefonaktiebolaget may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HPE | Hewlett Packard Enterprise | (0.60) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.85 | (4.17) | 9.92 | |
| NOK | Nokia Corp ADR | 0.05 | 7 per month | 2.93 | 0 | 3.93 | (4.76) | 31.94 | |
| FI | FI Old | (8.63) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.30 | (3.13) | 47.14 | |
| CTSH | Cognizant Technology Solutions | (1.62) | 9 per month | 0.88 | 0.17 | 2.80 | (2.07) | 8.70 | |
| CRDO | Credo Technology Group | (2.66) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.34 | (7.23) | 23.45 | |
| ASX | ASE Industrial Holding | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.73 | 0.26 | 4.23 | (2.91) | 13.07 | |
| CIEN | Ciena Corp | 12.06 | 9 per month | 3.88 | 0.13 | 9.22 | (6.53) | 23.22 | |
| KEYS | Keysight Technologies | 0.23 | 12 per month | 1.30 | 0.18 | 2.87 | (2.83) | 13.11 | |
| MCHP | Microchip Technology | 0.29 | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.11 | 6.14 | (3.32) | 15.07 | |
| WIT | Wipro Limited ADR | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.76 | (2.13) | 14.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Telefonaktiebolaget
For every potential investor in Telefonaktiebolaget, whether a beginner or expert, Telefonaktiebolaget's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telefonaktiebolaget Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telefonaktiebolaget. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telefonaktiebolaget's price trends.Telefonaktiebolaget Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telefonaktiebolaget stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telefonaktiebolaget could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telefonaktiebolaget by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Telefonaktiebolaget Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telefonaktiebolaget stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telefonaktiebolaget shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telefonaktiebolaget stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Telefonaktiebolaget Risk Indicators
The analysis of Telefonaktiebolaget's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telefonaktiebolaget's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telefonaktiebolaget stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Variance | 3.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.74 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Telefonaktiebolaget
The number of cover stories for Telefonaktiebolaget depends on current market conditions and Telefonaktiebolaget's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Telefonaktiebolaget is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Telefonaktiebolaget's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Telefonaktiebolaget Short Properties
Telefonaktiebolaget's future price predictability will typically decrease when Telefonaktiebolaget's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Telefonaktiebolaget's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telefonaktiebolaget's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telefonaktiebolaget to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Will Communications Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Telefonaktiebolaget diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telefonaktiebolaget. Projected growth potential of Telefonaktiebolaget fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Telefonaktiebolaget data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.792 | Earnings Share 0.97 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
Telefonaktiebolaget's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Telefonaktiebolaget's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Telefonaktiebolaget's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Telefonaktiebolaget's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Telefonaktiebolaget's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Telefonaktiebolaget should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Telefonaktiebolaget's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.