Energy Recovery Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ERII Stock  USD 14.23  0.10  0.70%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Energy Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 14.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.57. Energy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Energy Recovery's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Energy Recovery's stock price is under 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 6th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Energy Recovery's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Energy Recovery, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Energy Recovery's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6833
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.7175
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.83
Wall Street Target Price
18.24
Using Energy Recovery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Energy Recovery from the perspective of Energy Recovery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Energy Recovery using Energy Recovery's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Energy using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Energy Recovery's stock price.

Energy Recovery Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Energy Recovery's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Energy. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Energy Recovery stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
14.3674
Short Percent
0.0315
Short Ratio
3.49
Shares Short Prior Month
1.7 M
50 Day MA
14.876

Energy Recovery Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Energy Recovery's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Energy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Energy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Energy Recovery. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Energy Recovery's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Energy Recovery.

Energy Recovery Implied Volatility

    
  1.01  
Energy Recovery's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Energy Recovery stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Energy Recovery's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Energy Recovery stock will not fluctuate a lot when Energy Recovery's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Energy Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 14.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.57.

Energy Recovery after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Energy Recovery to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Energy Stock please use our How to Invest in Energy Recovery guide.As of now, Energy Recovery's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Energy Recovery's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 2.77, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 12.18. . The Energy Recovery's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 29 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 55.4 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Energy Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Energy Recovery's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Energy Recovery's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Energy Recovery stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Energy Recovery's open interest, investors have to compare it to Energy Recovery's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Energy Recovery is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Energy. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Energy Recovery Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Energy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Energy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Energy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Energy Recovery Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Energy Recovery's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2006-09-30
Previous Quarter
57 M
Current Value
47.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
28.2 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Energy Recovery is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Energy Recovery value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Energy Recovery Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Energy Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 14.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Energy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Energy Recovery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Energy Recovery Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Energy RecoveryEnergy Recovery Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Energy Recovery Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Energy Recovery's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Energy Recovery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.23 and 16.91, respectively. We have considered Energy Recovery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.23
14.07
Expected Value
16.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Energy Recovery stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Energy Recovery stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8025
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4028
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0263
SAESum of the absolute errors24.5696
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Energy Recovery. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Energy Recovery. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Energy Recovery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energy Recovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4314.2917.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.7616.6219.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.1413.8514.56
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.6018.2420.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Energy Recovery

For every potential investor in Energy, whether a beginner or expert, Energy Recovery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Energy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Energy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Energy Recovery's price trends.

Energy Recovery Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Energy Recovery stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Energy Recovery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Energy Recovery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Energy Recovery Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Energy Recovery's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Energy Recovery's current price.

Energy Recovery Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Energy Recovery stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Energy Recovery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Energy Recovery stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Energy Recovery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Energy Recovery Risk Indicators

The analysis of Energy Recovery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Energy Recovery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting energy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Energy Recovery offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Energy Recovery's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Energy Recovery Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Energy Recovery Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Energy Recovery to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Energy Stock please use our How to Invest in Energy Recovery guide.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Energy Recovery. If investors know Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Energy Recovery listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
Earnings Share
0.36
Revenue Per Share
2.47
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Return On Assets
0.0571
The market value of Energy Recovery is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Energy Recovery's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Energy Recovery's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Energy Recovery's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Energy Recovery's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Energy Recovery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Energy Recovery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Energy Recovery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.