Energy Recovery Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ERII Stock | USD 14.59 0.19 1.29% |
Energy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Energy Recovery's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Energy Recovery's share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Energy Recovery, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Energy Recovery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Energy Recovery from the perspective of Energy Recovery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Energy Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 14.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.33. Energy Recovery after-hype prediction price | USD 14.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Energy Recovery to cross-verify your projections. Energy Recovery Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Energy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Energy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Energy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Energy Recovery Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Energy Recovery on the next trading day is expected to be 14.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Energy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Energy Recovery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Energy Recovery Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Energy Recovery | Energy Recovery Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Energy Recovery Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Energy Recovery's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Energy Recovery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.81 and 17.41, respectively. We have considered Energy Recovery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Energy Recovery stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Energy Recovery stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0672 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2768 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0194 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.3298 |
Predictive Modules for Energy Recovery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energy Recovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Energy Recovery After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Energy Recovery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Energy Recovery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Energy Recovery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Energy Recovery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Energy Recovery's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Energy Recovery's historical news coverage. Energy Recovery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.79 and 17.39, respectively. We have considered Energy Recovery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Energy Recovery is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Energy Recovery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Energy Recovery Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Energy Recovery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Energy Recovery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Energy Recovery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.80 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.59 | 14.59 | 0.00 |
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Energy Recovery Hype Timeline
Energy Recovery is currently traded for 14.59. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.13. Energy is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Energy Recovery is about 421.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.72. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Energy Recovery was currently reported as 3.41. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.09. Energy Recovery last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Energy Recovery to cross-verify your projections.Energy Recovery Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Energy Recovery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Energy Recovery's future price movements. Getting to know how Energy Recovery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Energy Recovery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UP | Wheels Up Experience | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 11.94 | (13.58) | 61.04 | |
| THR | Thermon Group Holdings | 0.46 | 6 per month | 1.24 | 0.29 | 4.30 | (2.28) | 15.73 | |
| MRTN | Marten Transport | (0.06) | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.16 | 4.33 | (2.24) | 8.99 | |
| WLFC | Willis Lease Finance | 5.82 | 8 per month | 2.33 | 0.18 | 5.67 | (3.93) | 11.05 | |
| MEG | Montrose Environmental Grp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.41 | (4.62) | 16.56 | |
| AEBI | Aebi Schmidt Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | 0.20 | 4.30 | (2.86) | 9.69 | |
| HTZ | Hertz Global Holdings | (0.03) | 9 per month | 3.35 | 0 | 7.63 | (5.46) | 43.57 | |
| SFL | SFL Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.16 | 2.50 | (1.60) | 13.61 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | 0.46 | 11 per month | 0.98 | 0.21 | 2.89 | (2.24) | 12.98 | |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.56 | 0.12 | 4.06 | (3.73) | 11.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for Energy Recovery
For every potential investor in Energy, whether a beginner or expert, Energy Recovery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Energy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Energy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Energy Recovery's price trends.Energy Recovery Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Energy Recovery stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Energy Recovery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Energy Recovery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Energy Recovery Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Energy Recovery stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Energy Recovery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Energy Recovery stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Energy Recovery entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Energy Recovery Risk Indicators
The analysis of Energy Recovery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Energy Recovery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting energy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Variance | 7.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Energy Recovery
The number of cover stories for Energy Recovery depends on current market conditions and Energy Recovery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Energy Recovery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Energy Recovery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Energy Recovery Short Properties
Energy Recovery's future price predictability will typically decrease when Energy Recovery's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Energy Recovery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Energy Recovery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Energy Recovery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Energy Recovery to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Energy Stock please use our How to Invest in Energy Recovery guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is there potential for Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components market expansion? Will Energy introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Energy Recovery. Projected growth potential of Energy fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Energy Recovery listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Energy Recovery's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Energy's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Energy Recovery's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Energy Recovery's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Energy Recovery's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Energy Recovery should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Energy Recovery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.