EasyETF BNP Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ESE Etf  EUR 28.65  0.10  0.35%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EasyETF BNP on the next trading day is expected to be 28.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.28. EasyETF Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast EasyETF BNP stock prices and determine the direction of EasyETF BNP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EasyETF BNP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
EasyETF BNP simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for EasyETF BNP are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as EasyETF BNP prices get older.

EasyETF BNP Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EasyETF BNP on the next trading day is expected to be 28.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EasyETF Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EasyETF BNP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EasyETF BNP Etf Forecast Pattern

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EasyETF BNP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EasyETF BNP's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EasyETF BNP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.79 and 29.51, respectively. We have considered EasyETF BNP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.65
28.65
Expected Value
29.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EasyETF BNP etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EasyETF BNP etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3394
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0657
MADMean absolute deviation0.1547
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0058
SAESum of the absolute errors9.28
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting EasyETF BNP forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent EasyETF BNP observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for EasyETF BNP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EasyETF BNP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.3527.8929.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for EasyETF BNP

For every potential investor in EasyETF, whether a beginner or expert, EasyETF BNP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EasyETF Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EasyETF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EasyETF BNP's price trends.

EasyETF BNP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EasyETF BNP etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EasyETF BNP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EasyETF BNP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EasyETF BNP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EasyETF BNP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EasyETF BNP's current price.

EasyETF BNP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EasyETF BNP etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EasyETF BNP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EasyETF BNP etf market strength indicators, traders can identify EasyETF BNP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EasyETF BNP Risk Indicators

The analysis of EasyETF BNP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EasyETF BNP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting easyetf etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in EasyETF Etf

EasyETF BNP financial ratios help investors to determine whether EasyETF Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EasyETF with respect to the benefits of owning EasyETF BNP security.