Euroseas Stock Forward View

ESEA Stock  USD 53.10  0.31  0.58%   
Euroseas Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Euroseas stock prices and determine the direction of Euroseas's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Euroseas' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Euroseas' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Euroseas' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Euroseas, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Euroseas' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.076
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.81
EPS Estimate Current Year
16.515
EPS Estimate Next Year
16.53
Wall Street Target Price
71.6667
Using Euroseas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Euroseas from the perspective of Euroseas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Euroseas Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Euroseas on the next trading day is expected to be 51.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.71.

Euroseas Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Euroseas' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Euroseas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Euroseas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Euroseas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Euroseas' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Euroseas.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Euroseas on the next trading day is expected to be 51.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.71.

Euroseas after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 53.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Euroseas to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Euroseas Stock refer to our How to Trade Euroseas Stock guide.

Euroseas Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Euroseas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Euroseas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Euroseas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Euroseas Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Euroseas' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2004-12-31
Previous Quarter
100.5 M
Current Value
106.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
27.8 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Euroseas is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Euroseas value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Euroseas Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Euroseas on the next trading day is expected to be 51.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21, mean absolute percentage error of 2.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Euroseas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Euroseas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Euroseas Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Euroseas  Euroseas Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Euroseas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Euroseas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Euroseas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.49 and 54.15, respectively. We have considered Euroseas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
53.10
51.82
Expected Value
54.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Euroseas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Euroseas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6993
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.205
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0213
SAESum of the absolute errors74.713
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Euroseas. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Euroseas. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Euroseas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Euroseas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Euroseas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.7753.0955.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.7963.3965.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.2156.1261.02
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
65.2271.6779.55
Details

Euroseas After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Euroseas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Euroseas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Euroseas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Euroseas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Euroseas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Euroseas' historical news coverage. Euroseas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.77 and 55.41, respectively. We have considered Euroseas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
53.10
53.09
After-hype Price
55.41
Upside
Euroseas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Euroseas is based on 3 months time horizon.

Euroseas Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Euroseas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Euroseas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Euroseas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.33
  0.01 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
53.10
53.09
0.02 
1,942  
Notes

Euroseas Hype Timeline

Euroseas is currently traded for 53.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Euroseas is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Euroseas is about 3136.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.09. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Euroseas recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.8. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2025. The firm had 1:8 split on the 19th of December 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Euroseas to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Euroseas Stock refer to our How to Trade Euroseas Stock guide.

Euroseas Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Euroseas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Euroseas' future price movements. Getting to know how Euroseas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Euroseas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Euroseas

For every potential investor in Euroseas, whether a beginner or expert, Euroseas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Euroseas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Euroseas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Euroseas' price trends.

Euroseas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Euroseas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Euroseas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Euroseas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Euroseas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Euroseas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Euroseas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Euroseas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Euroseas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Euroseas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Euroseas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Euroseas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting euroseas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Euroseas

The number of cover stories for Euroseas depends on current market conditions and Euroseas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Euroseas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Euroseas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Euroseas Short Properties

Euroseas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Euroseas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Euroseas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Euroseas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Euroseas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments73.7 M
When determining whether Euroseas offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Euroseas' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Euroseas Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Euroseas Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Euroseas to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Euroseas Stock refer to our How to Trade Euroseas Stock guide.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Euroseas. Projected growth potential of Euroseas fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Euroseas assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.076
Dividend Share
2.05
Earnings Share
16.8
Revenue Per Share
32.236
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.051
Investors evaluate Euroseas using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Euroseas' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Euroseas' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Euroseas' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Euroseas should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Euroseas' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.