Surya Esa Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Surya Esa simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Surya Esa Perkasa are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Surya Esa Perkasa prices get older.

Surya Esa Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Surya Esa Perkasa on the next trading day is expected to be 820.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.92, mean absolute percentage error of 565.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,075.

Surya Esa Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Surya Esa stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Surya Esa stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Surya Esa Perkasa forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Surya Esa observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Surya Esa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Surya Esa Perkasa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 817.20 820.00 822.80 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 716.45 719.25 902.00 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Surya Esa

For every potential investor in Surya, whether a beginner or expert, Surya Esa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Surya Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Surya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Surya Esa's price trends.

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Risk & Return

Correlation

Surya Esa Perkasa Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Surya Esa's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Surya Esa's current price.

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