Establishment Labs Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ESTA Stock | USD 68.34 4.58 6.28% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Establishment Labs Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 64.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.19. Establishment Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Establishment Labs stock prices and determine the direction of Establishment Labs Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Establishment Labs' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Establishment Labs' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.24) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.87) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.94) | Wall Street Target Price 83.1111 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.51) |
Using Establishment Labs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Establishment Labs Holdings from the perspective of Establishment Labs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Establishment Labs using Establishment Labs' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Establishment using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Establishment Labs' stock price.
Establishment Labs Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Establishment Labs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Establishment Labs Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Establishment Labs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Establishment Labs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Establishment Labs' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Establishment Labs Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 64.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.19. Establishment Labs after-hype prediction price | USD 68.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Establishment | Build AI portfolio with Establishment Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Establishment Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Establishment Labs' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Establishment Labs' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Establishment Labs stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Establishment Labs' open interest, investors have to compare it to Establishment Labs' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Establishment Labs is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Establishment. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Establishment Labs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Establishment price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Establishment using various technical indicators. When you analyze Establishment charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Establishment Labs Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Establishment Labs' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2016-12-31 | Previous Quarter 54.6 M | Current Value 70.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 27 M |
Establishment Labs Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Establishment Labs Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 64.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95, mean absolute percentage error of 8.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Establishment Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Establishment Labs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Establishment Labs Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Establishment Labs | Establishment Labs Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Establishment Labs Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Establishment Labs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Establishment Labs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.53 and 68.95, respectively. We have considered Establishment Labs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Establishment Labs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Establishment Labs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.1893 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.954 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0321 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 119.1938 |
Predictive Modules for Establishment Labs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Establishment Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Establishment Labs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Establishment Labs
For every potential investor in Establishment, whether a beginner or expert, Establishment Labs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Establishment Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Establishment. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Establishment Labs' price trends.Establishment Labs Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Establishment Labs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Establishment Labs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Establishment Labs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Establishment Labs Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Establishment Labs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Establishment Labs' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Establishment Labs Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Establishment Labs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Establishment Labs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Establishment Labs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Establishment Labs Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Establishment Labs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Establishment Labs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Establishment Labs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting establishment stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.19 | |||
| Variance | 17.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Establishment Labs offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Establishment Labs' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Establishment Labs Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Establishment Labs Holdings Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Establishment Labs to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Establishment Labs. If investors know Establishment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Establishment Labs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.84) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.337 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Establishment Labs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Establishment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Establishment Labs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Establishment Labs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Establishment Labs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Establishment Labs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Establishment Labs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Establishment Labs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Establishment Labs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.