Establishment Labs Stock Forward View
| ESTA Stock | USD 71.25 3.10 4.55% |
Establishment Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Establishment Labs stock prices and determine the direction of Establishment Labs Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Establishment Labs' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Establishment Labs' share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Establishment Labs, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.24) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.86) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.94) | Wall Street Target Price 83.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.51) |
Using Establishment Labs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Establishment Labs Holdings from the perspective of Establishment Labs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Establishment Labs using Establishment Labs' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Establishment using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Establishment Labs' stock price.
Establishment Labs Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
Establishment Labs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Establishment Labs Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Establishment Labs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Establishment Labs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Establishment Labs' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Establishment Labs Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 76.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.28. Establishment Labs after-hype prediction price | USD 72.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Establishment | Build AI portfolio with Establishment Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Establishment contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Establishment Labs Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Establishment Labs trading at USD 71.25, that is roughly USD 0.0312 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Establishment Labs' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Establishment Labs Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Establishment Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Establishment Labs' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Establishment Labs' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Establishment Labs stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Establishment Labs' open interest, investors have to compare it to Establishment Labs' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Establishment Labs is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Establishment. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Establishment Labs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Establishment price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Establishment using various technical indicators. When you analyze Establishment charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Establishment Labs Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Establishment Labs' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2016-12-31 | Previous Quarter 54.6 M | Current Value 70.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 27 M |
Establishment Labs Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Establishment Labs Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 76.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.67, mean absolute percentage error of 4.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Establishment Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Establishment Labs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Establishment Labs Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Establishment Labs | Establishment Labs Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Establishment Labs Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Establishment Labs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Establishment Labs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.82 and 80.05, respectively. We have considered Establishment Labs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Establishment Labs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Establishment Labs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.5294 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6659 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.025 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 103.2845 |
Predictive Modules for Establishment Labs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Establishment Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Establishment Labs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Establishment Labs After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Establishment Labs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Establishment Labs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Establishment Labs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Establishment Labs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Establishment Labs' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Establishment Labs' historical news coverage. Establishment Labs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.04 and 76.42, respectively. We have considered Establishment Labs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Establishment Labs is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Establishment Labs is based on 3 months time horizon.
Establishment Labs Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Establishment Labs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Establishment Labs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Establishment Labs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 3.11 | 0.46 | 0.19 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
71.25 | 72.23 | 1.38 |
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Establishment Labs Hype Timeline
Establishment Labs is currently traded for 71.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.46, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Establishment is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 72.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Establishment Labs is about 527.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.44. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 166.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (84.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 131.27 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Establishment Labs to cross-verify your projections.Establishment Labs Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Establishment Labs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Establishment Labs' future price movements. Getting to know how Establishment Labs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Establishment Labs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVS | Novartis AG ADR | 1.58 | 7 per month | 0.77 | 0.20 | 2.59 | (2.06) | 6.07 | |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc | 0.25 | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.1 | 2.24 | (2.24) | 7.97 | |
| SNY | Sanofi ADR | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.87 | (2.19) | 5.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Establishment Labs
For every potential investor in Establishment, whether a beginner or expert, Establishment Labs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Establishment Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Establishment. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Establishment Labs' price trends.Establishment Labs Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Establishment Labs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Establishment Labs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Establishment Labs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Establishment Labs Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Establishment Labs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Establishment Labs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Establishment Labs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Establishment Labs Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Establishment Labs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Establishment Labs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Establishment Labs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting establishment stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.14 | |||
| Variance | 17.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Establishment Labs
The number of cover stories for Establishment Labs depends on current market conditions and Establishment Labs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Establishment Labs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Establishment Labs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Establishment Labs Short Properties
Establishment Labs' future price predictability will typically decrease when Establishment Labs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Establishment Labs Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Establishment Labs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Establishment Labs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Establishment Labs to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Establishment Labs. Projected growth potential of Establishment fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Establishment Labs assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (2.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.337 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Establishment Labs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Establishment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Establishment Labs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Establishment Labs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Establishment Labs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Establishment Labs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Establishment Labs' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Establishment Labs should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Establishment Labs' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.