VanEck Ethereum Etf Forward View
| ETHV Etf | 27.17 0.03 0.11% |
VanEck Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of VanEck Ethereum's share price is approaching 31 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VanEck Ethereum, making its price go up or down. Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VanEck Ethereum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck Ethereum ETF from the perspective of VanEck Ethereum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VanEck Ethereum using VanEck Ethereum's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VanEck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VanEck Ethereum's stock price.
VanEck Ethereum Implied Volatility | 0.97 |
VanEck Ethereum's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VanEck Ethereum ETF stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VanEck Ethereum's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VanEck Ethereum stock will not fluctuate a lot when VanEck Ethereum's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Ethereum ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 33.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.62. VanEck Ethereum after-hype prediction price | USD 28.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Ethereum to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VanEck contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VanEck Ethereum ETF will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0606% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With VanEck Ethereum trading at USD 27.17, that is roughly USD 0.0165 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VanEck Ethereum's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VanEck Ethereum ETF options at the current volatility level of 0.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 VanEck Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VanEck Ethereum's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VanEck Ethereum's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VanEck Ethereum stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VanEck Ethereum's open interest, investors have to compare it to VanEck Ethereum's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VanEck Ethereum is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VanEck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
VanEck Ethereum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VanEck Ethereum Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Ethereum ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 33.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.66, mean absolute percentage error of 4.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck Ethereum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VanEck Ethereum Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VanEck Ethereum | VanEck Ethereum Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
VanEck Ethereum Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VanEck Ethereum's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck Ethereum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.63 and 38.07, respectively. We have considered VanEck Ethereum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck Ethereum etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck Ethereum etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.4601 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6551 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0439 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 102.6152 |
Predictive Modules for VanEck Ethereum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Ethereum ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VanEck Ethereum After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VanEck Ethereum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VanEck Ethereum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of VanEck Ethereum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VanEck Ethereum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VanEck Ethereum's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VanEck Ethereum's historical news coverage. VanEck Ethereum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.44 and 32.88, respectively. We have considered VanEck Ethereum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VanEck Ethereum is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VanEck Ethereum ETF is based on 3 months time horizon.
VanEck Ethereum Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as VanEck Ethereum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VanEck Ethereum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VanEck Ethereum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 4.72 | 0.99 | 0.26 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.17 | 28.16 | 3.64 |
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VanEck Ethereum Hype Timeline
VanEck Ethereum ETF is currently traded for 27.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.99, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.26. VanEck is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 3.64%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.72%. The volatility of related hype on VanEck Ethereum is about 1315.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.43. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Ethereum to cross-verify your projections.VanEck Ethereum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VanEck Ethereum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VanEck Ethereum's future price movements. Getting to know how VanEck Ethereum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VanEck Ethereum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIME | CoinShares Altcoins ETF | 0.19 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 8.21 | (8.16) | 26.34 | |
| VAVX | VanEck Avalanche ETF | 0.75 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 5.56 | (8.53) | 18.44 | |
| DOJE | DOJE | 0.76 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 10.07 | (7.53) | 35.00 | |
| MNRS | Grayscale Funds Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.58 | (6.90) | 24.75 | |
| VSOL | VanEck Solana ETF | 0.12 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.41 | (9.43) | 26.54 | |
| EETH | ProShares Trust | 1.22 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.67 | (8.84) | 22.45 | |
| NCIQ | Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.66 | (6.84) | 20.98 | |
| NEHI | NEOS Ethereum High | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 6.73 | (6.85) | 20.37 | |
| ETCO | Grayscale Ethereum Covered | 0.19 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.41 | (8.13) | 21.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for VanEck Ethereum
For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck Ethereum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck Ethereum's price trends.VanEck Ethereum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck Ethereum etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck Ethereum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck Ethereum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VanEck Ethereum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck Ethereum etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck Ethereum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck Ethereum etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck Ethereum ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VanEck Ethereum Risk Indicators
The analysis of VanEck Ethereum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Ethereum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.7 | |||
| Variance | 22.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VanEck Ethereum
The number of cover stories for VanEck Ethereum depends on current market conditions and VanEck Ethereum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VanEck Ethereum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VanEck Ethereum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Ethereum to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
The market value of VanEck Ethereum ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Ethereum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Ethereum's true underlying value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Because VanEck Ethereum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Ethereum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between VanEck Ethereum's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding VanEck Ethereum should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, VanEck Ethereum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.