EUDA Health Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| EUDA Stock | 1.55 0.04 2.52% |
EUDA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast EUDA Health stock prices and determine the direction of EUDA Health Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EUDA Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of EUDA Health's share price is approaching 42 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling EUDA Health, making its price go up or down. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.02 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.17 | Wall Street Target Price 6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.02) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.602 |
Using EUDA Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EUDA Health Holdings from the perspective of EUDA Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
EUDA Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EUDA Health Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.33.EUDA Health Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to EUDA Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in EUDA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding EUDA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around EUDA Health Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of EUDA Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about EUDA Health.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EUDA Health Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.33. EUDA Health after-hype prediction price | USD 1.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EUDA Health to cross-verify your projections. EUDA Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EUDA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EUDA using various technical indicators. When you analyze EUDA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EUDA Health Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EUDA Health Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EUDA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EUDA Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EUDA Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EUDA Health | EUDA Health Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
EUDA Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EUDA Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EUDA Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 14.36, respectively. We have considered EUDA Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EUDA Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EUDA Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0369 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1921 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0834 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.3315 |
Predictive Modules for EUDA Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EUDA Health Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EUDA Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
EUDA Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EUDA Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EUDA Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EUDA Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EUDA Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EUDA Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EUDA Health's historical news coverage. EUDA Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 14.31, respectively. We have considered EUDA Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EUDA Health is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EUDA Health Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
EUDA Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EUDA Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EUDA Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EUDA Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 12.87 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 13 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.55 | 1.55 | 0.00 |
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EUDA Health Hype Timeline
EUDA Health Holdings is currently traded for 1.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. EUDA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on EUDA Health is about 99000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.55. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EUDA Health to cross-verify your projections.EUDA Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EUDA Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EUDA Health's future price movements. Getting to know how EUDA Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EUDA Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMWL | American Well Corp | (0.02) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.98 | (4.84) | 12.73 | |
| HYPR | Hyperfine | 0.00 | 10 per month | 4.09 | (0.01) | 8.77 | (7.22) | 18.87 | |
| ZTEK | ZEN Graphene Solutions | 0.29 | 3 per month | 3.13 | (0.01) | 8.75 | (5.71) | 31.27 | |
| QNCX | Quince Therapeutics | (0.34) | 13 per month | 4.21 | 0.13 | 11.88 | (7.90) | 42.36 | |
| FONR | Fonar | (0.11) | 10 per month | 0.63 | 0.08 | 2.30 | (1.98) | 27.25 | |
| DTIL | Precision BioSciences | 0.09 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.99 | (8.82) | 28.04 | |
| GUTS | Fractyl Health Common | (0.03) | 4 per month | 2.88 | 0.13 | 11.89 | (5.49) | 26.39 | |
| ATYR | aTyr Pharma | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.14 | (6.41) | 22.83 | |
| ADVM | Adverum Biotechnologies | (0.02) | 33 per month | 3.70 | 0.07 | 10.34 | (6.79) | 40.97 | |
| FORA | Forian Inc | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.94 | (3.67) | 11.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for EUDA Health
For every potential investor in EUDA, whether a beginner or expert, EUDA Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EUDA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EUDA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EUDA Health's price trends.EUDA Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EUDA Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EUDA Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EUDA Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EUDA Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EUDA Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EUDA Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EUDA Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EUDA Health Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
EUDA Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of EUDA Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EUDA Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting euda stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.85 | |||
| Variance | 165.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for EUDA Health
The number of cover stories for EUDA Health depends on current market conditions and EUDA Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EUDA Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EUDA Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
EUDA Health Short Properties
EUDA Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when EUDA Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EUDA Health Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EUDA Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EUDA Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 237.6 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EUDA Health to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EUDA Health. If investors know EUDA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EUDA Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of EUDA Health Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EUDA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EUDA Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EUDA Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EUDA Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EUDA Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EUDA Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EUDA Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EUDA Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.