Evgo Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| EVGO Stock | USD 3.05 0.07 2.35% |
Evgo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Evgo's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Evgo's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Evgo fundamentals over time.
As of today, the value of RSI of Evgo's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Evgo, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.34) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.56) | Wall Street Target Price 6.5444 |
Using Evgo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Evgo Inc from the perspective of Evgo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Evgo using Evgo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Evgo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Evgo's stock price.
Evgo Short Interest
An investor who is long Evgo may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Evgo and may potentially protect profits, hedge Evgo with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 3.6437 | Short Percent 0.2428 | Short Ratio 9.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 32.4 M | 50 Day MA 3.1114 |
Evgo Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Evgo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.01.Evgo Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Evgo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Evgo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Evgo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Evgo Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Evgo's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Evgo.
Evgo Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Evgo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Evgo Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Evgo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Evgo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Evgo's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Evgo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.01. Evgo after-hype prediction price | USD 2.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Evgo to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Evgo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Evgo Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Evgo trading at USD 3.05, that is roughly USD 0.001773 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Evgo's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Evgo Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Evgo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Evgo's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Evgo's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Evgo stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Evgo's open interest, investors have to compare it to Evgo's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Evgo is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Evgo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Evgo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Evgo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Evgo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Evgo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Evgo Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Evgo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Evgo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Evgo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Evgo Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Evgo | Evgo Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Evgo Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Evgo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Evgo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.19, respectively. We have considered Evgo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Evgo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Evgo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.0773 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.01 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0849 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0273 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.01 |
Predictive Modules for Evgo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Evgo Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Evgo After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Evgo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Evgo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Evgo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Evgo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Evgo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Evgo's historical news coverage. Evgo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 6.13, respectively. We have considered Evgo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Evgo is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Evgo Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Evgo Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Evgo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Evgo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Evgo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 3.17 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.05 | 2.96 | 0.67 |
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Evgo Hype Timeline
Evgo Inc is currently traded for 3.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Evgo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Evgo is about 5561.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.04. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.38. Evgo Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Evgo to cross-verify your projections.Evgo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Evgo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Evgo's future price movements. Getting to know how Evgo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Evgo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TDUP | ThredUp | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 5.77 | (7.53) | 21.48 | |
| SBH | Sally Beauty Holdings | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.69 | 0.05 | 4.55 | (4.37) | 11.38 | |
| SVV | Savers Value Village | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.91 | (5.06) | 30.39 | |
| LEG | Leggett Platt Incorporated | 0.03 | 11 per month | 1.77 | 0.10 | 4.46 | (3.23) | 19.69 | |
| RERE | ATRenew Inc DRC | (0.33) | 4 per month | 1.97 | 0.20 | 6.33 | (3.03) | 13.61 | |
| GIII | G III Apparel Group | 0.86 | 11 per month | 1.65 | 0.04 | 3.85 | (2.62) | 9.35 | |
| CRI | Carters | (0.91) | 9 per month | 2.43 | 0.08 | 5.14 | (5.25) | 14.38 | |
| LVWR | LiveWire Group | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 7.50 | (10.66) | 25.22 | |
| HEPS | D MARKET Electronic Services | 0.04 | 6 per month | 4.82 | 0.02 | 3.23 | (4.94) | 61.70 | |
| WOOF | Pet Acquisition LLC | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.38 | (5.05) | 20.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Evgo
For every potential investor in Evgo, whether a beginner or expert, Evgo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Evgo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Evgo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Evgo's price trends.Evgo Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Evgo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Evgo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Evgo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Evgo Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Evgo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Evgo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Evgo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Evgo Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Evgo Risk Indicators
The analysis of Evgo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Evgo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting evgo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.54 | |||
| Variance | 12.53 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Evgo
The number of cover stories for Evgo depends on current market conditions and Evgo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Evgo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Evgo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Evgo Short Properties
Evgo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Evgo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Evgo Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Evgo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Evgo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 117.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Evgo to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Automotive Retail sector continue expanding? Could Evgo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Evgo. Projected growth potential of Evgo fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Evgo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.367 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Evgo Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Evgo's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Evgo's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Evgo's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Evgo should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Evgo's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.