EVI Industries Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

EVI Stock  USD 20.94  0.12  0.57%   
EVI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of EVI Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of EVI Industries' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of EVI Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with EVI Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting EVI Industries' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.16
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.65
EPS Estimate Next Year
1
Wall Street Target Price
40
Using EVI Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EVI Industries from the perspective of EVI Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EVI Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 20.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.77.

EVI Industries after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EVI Industries to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in EVI Stock please use our How to Invest in EVI Industries guide.

EVI Industries Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine EVI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EVI using various technical indicators. When you analyze EVI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for EVI Industries is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

EVI Industries Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of EVI Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 20.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EVI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EVI Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EVI Industries Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest EVI Industries  EVI Industries Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

EVI Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EVI Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EVI Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.56 and 24.32, respectively. We have considered EVI Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.94
20.94
Expected Value
24.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EVI Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EVI Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1106
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.028
MADMean absolute deviation0.708
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0305
SAESum of the absolute errors41.77
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of EVI Industries price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of EVI Industries. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for EVI Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EVI Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EVI Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5020.8824.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8525.3128.69
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.4040.0044.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.160.160.16
Details

EVI Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of EVI Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EVI Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EVI Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

EVI Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting EVI Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EVI Industries' historical news coverage. EVI Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.50 and 24.26, respectively. We have considered EVI Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.94
20.88
After-hype Price
24.26
Upside
EVI Industries is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EVI Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.

EVI Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EVI Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EVI Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EVI Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
3.38
  0.06 
  0.01 
6 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.94
20.88
0.29 
536.51  
Notes

EVI Industries Hype Timeline

On the 16th of February 2026 EVI Industries is traded for 20.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. EVI is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on EVI Industries is about 3634.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.95. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. EVI Industries has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 312.5. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of September 2025. The firm had 21:20 split on the 29th of August 1986. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EVI Industries to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in EVI Stock please use our How to Invest in EVI Industries guide.

EVI Industries Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to EVI Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EVI Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how EVI Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EVI Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LXFRLuxfer Holdings PLC 0.42 4 per month 1.02  0.19  2.92 (2.51) 6.05 
AIRJMontana Technologies(0.23)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 13.28 (8.01) 31.81 
TITNTitan Machinery 0.01 10 per month 2.39  0.07  4.93 (4.59) 27.01 
BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings(0.26)5 per month 2.63  0.01  4.50 (3.87) 15.27 
ASLEAerSale Corp 0.67 31 per month 1.30  0.12  2.92 (2.77) 6.61 
HSHPHimalaya Shipping(0.12)9 per month 1.67  0.27  4.80 (2.77) 12.50 
ACCOAcco Brands 0.01 10 per month 1.23  0.15  3.25 (2.48) 7.18 
PANLPangaea Logistic 0.16 11 per month 2.01  0.14  3.77 (4.04) 22.60 
NPWRNET Power(0.28)8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 7.00 (7.14) 18.48 
WNCWabash National 0.55 7 per month 2.02  0.20  6.11 (3.78) 16.28 

Other Forecasting Options for EVI Industries

For every potential investor in EVI, whether a beginner or expert, EVI Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EVI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EVI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EVI Industries' price trends.

EVI Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EVI Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EVI Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EVI Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EVI Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EVI Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EVI Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EVI Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EVI Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EVI Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of EVI Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EVI Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting evi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for EVI Industries

The number of cover stories for EVI Industries depends on current market conditions and EVI Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EVI Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EVI Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

EVI Industries Short Properties

EVI Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when EVI Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EVI Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EVI Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EVI Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.9 M
When determining whether EVI Industries offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of EVI Industries' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Evi Industries Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Evi Industries Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EVI Industries to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in EVI Stock please use our How to Invest in EVI Industries guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is there potential for Trading Companies & Distributors market expansion? Will EVI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EVI Industries. Projected growth potential of EVI fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about EVI Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Earnings Share
0.39
Revenue Per Share
31.712
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.156
Return On Assets
0.0279
Understanding EVI Industries requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects EVI's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what EVI Industries' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push EVI Industries' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between EVI Industries' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding EVI Industries should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, EVI Industries' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.