EVS Broadcast Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| EVS Stock | EUR 28.55 0.90 3.06% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EVS Broadcast Equipment on the next trading day is expected to be 28.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.38. EVS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
EVS |
EVS Broadcast Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EVS Broadcast Equipment on the next trading day is expected to be 28.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EVS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EVS Broadcast's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
EVS Broadcast Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest EVS Broadcast | EVS Broadcast Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
EVS Broadcast Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting EVS Broadcast's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EVS Broadcast's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.19 and 29.80, respectively. We have considered EVS Broadcast's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EVS Broadcast stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EVS Broadcast stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0532 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2563 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0091 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.3807 |
Predictive Modules for EVS Broadcast
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EVS Broadcast Equipment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for EVS Broadcast
For every potential investor in EVS, whether a beginner or expert, EVS Broadcast's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EVS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EVS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EVS Broadcast's price trends.EVS Broadcast Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EVS Broadcast stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EVS Broadcast could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EVS Broadcast by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
EVS Broadcast Equipment Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EVS Broadcast's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EVS Broadcast's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
EVS Broadcast Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EVS Broadcast stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EVS Broadcast shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EVS Broadcast stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EVS Broadcast Equipment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 165.02 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (2.25) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 28.55 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 28.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.45) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.90) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 23.54 |
EVS Broadcast Risk Indicators
The analysis of EVS Broadcast's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EVS Broadcast's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting evs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9498 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with EVS Broadcast
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if EVS Broadcast position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in EVS Broadcast will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against EVS Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to EVS Broadcast could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace EVS Broadcast when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back EVS Broadcast - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling EVS Broadcast Equipment to buy it.
The correlation of EVS Broadcast is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as EVS Broadcast moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if EVS Broadcast Equipment moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for EVS Broadcast can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for EVS Stock Analysis
When running EVS Broadcast's price analysis, check to measure EVS Broadcast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EVS Broadcast is operating at the current time. Most of EVS Broadcast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EVS Broadcast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EVS Broadcast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EVS Broadcast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.