Envirotech Vehicles Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| EVTV Stock | USD 2.31 0.22 10.53% |
Envirotech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Envirotech Vehicles' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 0.7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.288 |
Using Envirotech Vehicles hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Envirotech Vehicles from the perspective of Envirotech Vehicles response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Envirotech Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Envirotech Vehicles on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.76.Envirotech Vehicles Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Envirotech Vehicles' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Envirotech. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Envirotech can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Envirotech Vehicles. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Envirotech Vehicles' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Envirotech Vehicles.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Envirotech Vehicles on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.76. Envirotech Vehicles after-hype prediction price | USD 2.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Envirotech Vehicles Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Envirotech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Envirotech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Envirotech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Envirotech Vehicles Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Envirotech Vehicles on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Envirotech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Envirotech Vehicles' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Envirotech Vehicles Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Envirotech Vehicles | Envirotech Vehicles Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Envirotech Vehicles Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Envirotech Vehicles' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Envirotech Vehicles' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 61.34, respectively. We have considered Envirotech Vehicles' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Envirotech Vehicles stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Envirotech Vehicles stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6103 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5862 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.7732 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.7568 |
Predictive Modules for Envirotech Vehicles
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Envirotech Vehicles. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Envirotech Vehicles' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Envirotech Vehicles After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Envirotech Vehicles at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Envirotech Vehicles or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Envirotech Vehicles, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Envirotech Vehicles Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Envirotech Vehicles' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Envirotech Vehicles' historical news coverage. Envirotech Vehicles' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 233.31, respectively. We have considered Envirotech Vehicles' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Envirotech Vehicles is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Envirotech Vehicles is based on 3 months time horizon.
Envirotech Vehicles Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Envirotech Vehicles is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Envirotech Vehicles backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Envirotech Vehicles, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
6.52 | 59.20 | 1.28 | 1.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.31 | 2.31 | 0.00 |
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Envirotech Vehicles Hype Timeline
Envirotech Vehicles is currently traded for 2.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.01. Envirotech is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 6.52%. %. The volatility of related hype on Envirotech Vehicles is about 38193.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.32. The company recorded a loss per share of 10.59. Envirotech Vehicles had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 8th of August 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Envirotech Vehicles to cross-verify your projections.Envirotech Vehicles Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Envirotech Vehicles' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Envirotech Vehicles' future price movements. Getting to know how Envirotech Vehicles' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Envirotech Vehicles may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XELB | Xcel Brands | 0.09 | 8 per month | 5.46 | 0.10 | 11.20 | (10.19) | 31.14 | |
| VEEE | Twin Vee Powercats | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 13.22 | (14.97) | 62.67 | |
| XWEL | XWELL Inc | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 9.09 | (9.37) | 37.15 | |
| ECDA | ECD Automotive Design | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 17.65 | (27.61) | 138.90 | |
| CTNT | Cheetah Net Supply | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.79 | (5.36) | 15.61 | |
| NVVE | Nuvve Holding Corp | 1.26 | 10 per month | 12.07 | 0 | 34.19 | (20.38) | 250.51 | |
| WNW | Meiwu Technology Co | 0.03 | 4 per month | 5.74 | 0.01 | 11.72 | (9.70) | 25.24 | |
| GGR | Gogoro Inc | 0.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.78 | (5.51) | 23.10 | |
| NCI | Neo Concept International Group | 0.10 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.65 | (11.03) | 79.32 | |
| SPHL | Springview Holdings Ltd | 0.02 | 7 per month | 11.88 | 0.1 | 24.22 | (21.38) | 731.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Envirotech Vehicles
For every potential investor in Envirotech, whether a beginner or expert, Envirotech Vehicles' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Envirotech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Envirotech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Envirotech Vehicles' price trends.Envirotech Vehicles Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Envirotech Vehicles stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Envirotech Vehicles could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Envirotech Vehicles by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Envirotech Vehicles Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Envirotech Vehicles stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Envirotech Vehicles shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Envirotech Vehicles stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Envirotech Vehicles entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Envirotech Vehicles Risk Indicators
The analysis of Envirotech Vehicles' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Envirotech Vehicles' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting envirotech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 17.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 56.5 | |||
| Variance | 3192.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 130.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 84.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (26.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Envirotech Vehicles
The number of cover stories for Envirotech Vehicles depends on current market conditions and Envirotech Vehicles' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Envirotech Vehicles is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Envirotech Vehicles' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Envirotech Vehicles Short Properties
Envirotech Vehicles' future price predictability will typically decrease when Envirotech Vehicles' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Envirotech Vehicles often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Envirotech Vehicles' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Envirotech Vehicles' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 M |
Additional Tools for Envirotech Stock Analysis
When running Envirotech Vehicles' price analysis, check to measure Envirotech Vehicles' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Envirotech Vehicles is operating at the current time. Most of Envirotech Vehicles' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Envirotech Vehicles' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Envirotech Vehicles' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Envirotech Vehicles to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.