The Cheesecake Factory Stock Price Prediction
| CAKE Stock | USD 56.17 2.32 4.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.649 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.91 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.3089 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.7007 | Wall Street Target Price 51.4444 |
Using Cheesecake Factory hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Cheesecake Factory from the perspective of Cheesecake Factory response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cheesecake Factory using Cheesecake Factory's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cheesecake using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cheesecake Factory's stock price.
Cheesecake Factory Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cheesecake Factory's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cheesecake. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cheesecake Factory stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 41.5136 | Short Percent 0.1913 | Short Ratio 5.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.2 M | 50 Day MA 49.3336 |
The Cheesecake Factory Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cheesecake Factory's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cheesecake. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cheesecake can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Cheesecake Factory. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cheesecake Factory's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cheesecake Factory.
Cheesecake Factory Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Cheesecake Factory's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Cheesecake Factory stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cheesecake Factory's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cheesecake Factory stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cheesecake Factory's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cheesecake Factory to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cheesecake because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cheesecake Factory after-hype prediction price | USD 56.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cheesecake contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that The Cheesecake Factory will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Cheesecake Factory trading at USD 56.17, that is roughly USD 0.0172 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cheesecake Factory's daily price movement you should consider acquiring The Cheesecake Factory options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Cheesecake |
Cheesecake Factory After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cheesecake Factory at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cheesecake Factory or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cheesecake Factory, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cheesecake Factory Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cheesecake Factory's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cheesecake Factory's historical news coverage. Cheesecake Factory's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.86 and 58.32, respectively. We have considered Cheesecake Factory's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cheesecake Factory is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The Cheesecake Factory is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cheesecake Factory Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cheesecake Factory is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cheesecake Factory backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cheesecake Factory, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.23 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.17 | 56.09 | 0.14 |
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Cheesecake Factory Hype Timeline
The Cheesecake Factory is currently traded for 56.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Cheesecake is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 56.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Cheesecake Factory is about 743.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.29. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.91. The Cheesecake Factory last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 9th of December 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Cheesecake Factory Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cheesecake Factory Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cheesecake Factory's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cheesecake Factory's future price movements. Getting to know how Cheesecake Factory's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cheesecake Factory may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | 1.74 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.39 | (4.87) | 11.12 | |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants | (0.33) | 12 per month | 0.96 | 0.09 | 2.67 | (2.00) | 16.74 | |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings | (0.51) | 10 per month | 1.87 | (0.01) | 3.33 | (3.78) | 11.42 |
Cheesecake Factory Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cheesecake price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cheesecake using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cheesecake charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Cheesecake Factory Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cheesecake Factory stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Cheesecake Factory, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cheesecake Factory based on analysis of Cheesecake Factory hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cheesecake Factory's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cheesecake Factory's related companies. | 2014 | 2019 | 2020 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0286 | 0.0356 | 0.032 | 0.0373 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.84 | 0.69 | 0.48 | 0.65 |
Story Coverage note for Cheesecake Factory
The number of cover stories for Cheesecake Factory depends on current market conditions and Cheesecake Factory's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cheesecake Factory is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cheesecake Factory's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cheesecake Factory Short Properties
Cheesecake Factory's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cheesecake Factory's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Cheesecake Factory often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cheesecake Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheesecake Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Cheesecake Stock analysis
When running Cheesecake Factory's price analysis, check to measure Cheesecake Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheesecake Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Cheesecake Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheesecake Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheesecake Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheesecake Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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