Edwards Lifesciences Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

EWL Stock  EUR 67.65  0.69  1.03%   
Edwards Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Edwards Lifesciences' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Edwards Lifesciences' share price is approaching 42 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Edwards Lifesciences, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Edwards Lifesciences' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Edwards Lifesciences and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Edwards Lifesciences' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Edwards Lifesciences, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Edwards Lifesciences' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.76)
Wall Street Target Price
119.36
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.133
Using Edwards Lifesciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Edwards Lifesciences from the perspective of Edwards Lifesciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edwards Lifesciences on the next trading day is expected to be 67.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.58.

Edwards Lifesciences after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 67.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Edwards Lifesciences to cross-verify your projections.

Edwards Lifesciences Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Edwards price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Edwards using various technical indicators. When you analyze Edwards charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Edwards Lifesciences simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Edwards Lifesciences are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Edwards Lifesciences prices get older.

Edwards Lifesciences Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edwards Lifesciences on the next trading day is expected to be 67.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Edwards Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Edwards Lifesciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Edwards Lifesciences Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Edwards Lifesciences  Edwards Lifesciences Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Edwards Lifesciences Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Edwards Lifesciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Edwards Lifesciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.17 and 69.13, respectively. We have considered Edwards Lifesciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
67.65
67.65
Expected Value
69.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Edwards Lifesciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Edwards Lifesciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.365
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.095
MADMean absolute deviation0.843
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.012
SAESum of the absolute errors50.58
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Edwards Lifesciences forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Edwards Lifesciences observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Edwards Lifesciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edwards Lifesciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.0567.5569.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.0257.5274.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.8065.8294.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.510.540.56
Details

Edwards Lifesciences After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Edwards Lifesciences at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Edwards Lifesciences or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Edwards Lifesciences, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Edwards Lifesciences Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Edwards Lifesciences' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Edwards Lifesciences' historical news coverage. Edwards Lifesciences' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.05 and 69.05, respectively. We have considered Edwards Lifesciences' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
67.65
67.55
After-hype Price
69.05
Upside
Edwards Lifesciences is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Edwards Lifesciences is based on 3 months time horizon.

Edwards Lifesciences Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Edwards Lifesciences is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Edwards Lifesciences backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Edwards Lifesciences, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.48
  0.13 
  0.52 
9 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
67.65
67.55
0.15 
176.19  
Notes

Edwards Lifesciences Hype Timeline

Edwards Lifesciences is currently traded for 67.65on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.52. Edwards is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 67.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 176.19%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Edwards Lifesciences is about 45.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 68.17. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Edwards Lifesciences was currently reported as 14.91. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Edwards Lifesciences had 3:1 split on the 1st of June 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Edwards Lifesciences to cross-verify your projections.

Edwards Lifesciences Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Edwards Lifesciences' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Edwards Lifesciences' future price movements. Getting to know how Edwards Lifesciences' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Edwards Lifesciences may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RE3Richardson Electronics 0.17 9 per month 3.86  0.09  5.21 (5.76) 35.44 
ME5AMethode Electronics 0.00 7 per month 2.95  0.09  6.30 (4.27) 17.40 
UE1Universal Electronics 0.10 7 per month 2.66  0.13  4.46 (4.91) 21.38 
CK3Cars Inc 0.30 2 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.96 (3.81) 11.53 
UMCBUnited Microelectronics Corp 1.15 6 per month 2.42  0.15  7.39 (3.83) 23.20 
BMUBenchmark Electronics 0.80 9 per month 1.81  0.17  3.86 (3.21) 8.94 
SSUNSamsung Electronics Co 24.00 7 per month 2.32  0.24  6.04 (4.93) 14.94 
LPKLPKF Laser Electronics(0.44)1 per month 1.85  0.13  6.46 (3.03) 15.71 

Other Forecasting Options for Edwards Lifesciences

For every potential investor in Edwards, whether a beginner or expert, Edwards Lifesciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Edwards Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Edwards. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Edwards Lifesciences' price trends.

Edwards Lifesciences Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Edwards Lifesciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Edwards Lifesciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Edwards Lifesciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Edwards Lifesciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Edwards Lifesciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Edwards Lifesciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Edwards Lifesciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Edwards Lifesciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Edwards Lifesciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of Edwards Lifesciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Edwards Lifesciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting edwards stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Edwards Lifesciences

The number of cover stories for Edwards Lifesciences depends on current market conditions and Edwards Lifesciences' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Edwards Lifesciences is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Edwards Lifesciences' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Edwards Stock

Edwards Lifesciences financial ratios help investors to determine whether Edwards Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Edwards with respect to the benefits of owning Edwards Lifesciences security.