Extra Space Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| EXR Stock | USD 138.12 2.92 2.16% |
Extra Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Extra Space's share price is at 52 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Extra Space, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Extra Space hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Extra Space Storage from the perspective of Extra Space response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Extra Space Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 136.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.13. Extra Space after-hype prediction price | USD 138.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Extra Space to cross-verify your projections. Extra Space Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Extra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Extra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Extra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Extra Space Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Extra Space Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 136.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.60, mean absolute percentage error of 4.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Extra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Extra Space's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Extra Space Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Extra Space | Extra Space Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Extra Space Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Extra Space's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Extra Space's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 135.27 and 138.05, respectively. We have considered Extra Space's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Extra Space stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Extra Space stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8305 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1786 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5953 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0118 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 94.125 |
Predictive Modules for Extra Space
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Extra Space Storage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Extra Space's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Extra Space After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Extra Space at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Extra Space or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Extra Space, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Extra Space Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Extra Space's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Extra Space's historical news coverage. Extra Space's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 136.73 and 139.51, respectively. We have considered Extra Space's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Extra Space is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Extra Space Storage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Extra Space Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Extra Space is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Extra Space backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Extra Space, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.39 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
138.12 | 138.12 | 0.00 |
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Extra Space Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Extra Space Storage is traded for 138.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Extra is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Extra Space is about 591.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 138.10. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Extra Space was currently reported as 64.16. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Extra Space to cross-verify your projections.Extra Space Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Extra Space's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Extra Space's future price movements. Getting to know how Extra Space's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Extra Space may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.92 | (1.79) | 5.11 | |
| EQR | Equity Residential | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.02 | 1.85 | (1.79) | 6.31 | |
| VICI | VICI Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.88 | (1.42) | 4.11 | |
| IRM | Iron Mountain Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.94 | (4.07) | 10.09 | |
| PSA | Public Storage | (5.94) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.59 | (1.97) | 6.57 | |
| SBAC | SBA Communications Corp | 1.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.91 | (2.93) | 6.38 | |
| CUBE | CubeSmart | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | (0.01) | 2.01 | (1.99) | 4.49 | |
| REXR | Rexford Industrial Realty | 1.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.30 | (1.74) | 6.35 | |
| CSGP | CoStar Group | 1.39 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.64 | (5.02) | 10.88 | |
| INVH | Invitation Homes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.07 | (2.09) | 8.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for Extra Space
For every potential investor in Extra, whether a beginner or expert, Extra Space's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Extra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Extra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Extra Space's price trends.Extra Space Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Extra Space stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Extra Space could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Extra Space by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Extra Space Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Extra Space stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Extra Space shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Extra Space stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Extra Space Storage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Extra Space Risk Indicators
The analysis of Extra Space's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Extra Space's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting extra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Extra Space
The number of cover stories for Extra Space depends on current market conditions and Extra Space's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Extra Space is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Extra Space's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Extra Space Short Properties
Extra Space's future price predictability will typically decrease when Extra Space's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Extra Space Storage often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Extra Space's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Extra Space's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 211.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 138.2 M |
Additional Tools for Extra Stock Analysis
When running Extra Space's price analysis, check to measure Extra Space's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Extra Space is operating at the current time. Most of Extra Space's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Extra Space's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Extra Space's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Extra Space to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.