Vici Properties Stock Price Prediction
| VICI Stock | USD 29.84 0.17 0.57% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.275 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.67 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.68 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.735 | Wall Street Target Price 35.5544 |
Using VICI Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VICI Properties from the perspective of VICI Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VICI Properties using VICI Properties' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VICI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VICI Properties' stock price.
VICI Properties Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in VICI Properties' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards VICI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of VICI Properties stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 30.6045 | Short Percent 0.0288 | Short Ratio 3.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 25.8 M | 50 Day MA 30.418 |
VICI Properties Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to VICI Properties' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VICI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VICI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VICI Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of VICI Properties' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about VICI Properties.
VICI Properties Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
VICI Properties' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VICI Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VICI Properties' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VICI Properties stock will not fluctuate a lot when VICI Properties' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VICI Properties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VICI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
VICI Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 29.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VICI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VICI Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0381% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With VICI Properties trading at USD 29.84, that is roughly USD 0.0114 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VICI Properties' daily price movement you should consider acquiring VICI Properties options at the current volatility level of 0.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
VICI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VICI Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VICI Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VICI Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VICI Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VICI Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VICI Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VICI Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VICI Properties' historical news coverage. VICI Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.51 and 31.15, respectively. We have considered VICI Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VICI Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VICI Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
VICI Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VICI Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VICI Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VICI Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.32 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.84 | 29.83 | 0.03 |
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VICI Properties Hype Timeline
VICI Properties is at this time traded for 29.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. VICI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on VICI Properties is about 1015.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.83. About 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.21. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. VICI Properties has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.85. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out VICI Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.VICI Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VICI Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VICI Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how VICI Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VICI Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNL | Broadstone Net Lease | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.47 | (2.31) | 5.21 | |
| SRC | Spirit Realty Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.07 | 2.34 | (1.72) | 6.41 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.69 | (2.45) | 7.00 | |
| BRSP | Brightspire Capital | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.58 | 0.02 | 2.74 | (2.30) | 22.91 | |
| SAFE | Safehold | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 2.83 | (4.05) | 9.16 | |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Realty | (0.75) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.29 | (2.27) | 6.67 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.70 | (0.05) | 1.79 | (1.73) | 7.75 | |
| RTL | Pacer Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | 0.12 | 4.13 | (3.45) | 25.27 | |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | 0.1 | 9 per month | 1.20 | (0.06) | 1.75 | (1.71) | 10.01 | |
| WPC | W P Carey | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.94 | (2.17) | 5.90 | |
| PKST | Peakstone Realty Trust | (0.34) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.61 | (4.40) | 15.38 |
VICI Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VICI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VICI using various technical indicators. When you analyze VICI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About VICI Properties Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of VICI Properties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VICI Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VICI Properties based on analysis of VICI Properties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VICI Properties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VICI Properties's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0429 | 0.049 | 0.0441 | 0.0357 | Price To Sales Ratio | 10.93 | 8.95 | 10.3 | 9.78 |
Story Coverage note for VICI Properties
The number of cover stories for VICI Properties depends on current market conditions and VICI Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VICI Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VICI Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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VICI Properties Short Properties
VICI Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when VICI Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VICI Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VICI Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VICI Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 522.6 M |
Complementary Tools for VICI Stock analysis
When running VICI Properties' price analysis, check to measure VICI Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VICI Properties is operating at the current time. Most of VICI Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VICI Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VICI Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VICI Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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