Exsitec Holding Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

EXS Stock   142.00  3.00  2.07%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Exsitec Holding AB on the next trading day is expected to be 134.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 465.74. Exsitec Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Exsitec Holding price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Exsitec Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Exsitec Holding AB on the next trading day is expected to be 134.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.64, mean absolute percentage error of 78.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 465.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Exsitec Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Exsitec Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Exsitec Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

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Exsitec Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Exsitec Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Exsitec Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 132.44 and 136.40, respectively. We have considered Exsitec Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
142.00
132.44
Downside
134.42
Expected Value
136.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Exsitec Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Exsitec Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.4794
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.6351
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.049
SAESum of the absolute errors465.7441
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Exsitec Holding AB historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Exsitec Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exsitec Holding AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
143.02145.00146.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
125.70127.68159.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
139.75143.25146.75
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Exsitec Holding

For every potential investor in Exsitec, whether a beginner or expert, Exsitec Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Exsitec Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Exsitec. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Exsitec Holding's price trends.

Exsitec Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Exsitec Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Exsitec Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exsitec Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Exsitec Holding AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Exsitec Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Exsitec Holding's current price.

Exsitec Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Exsitec Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Exsitec Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Exsitec Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Exsitec Holding AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Exsitec Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Exsitec Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Exsitec Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting exsitec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Exsitec Stock Analysis

When running Exsitec Holding's price analysis, check to measure Exsitec Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exsitec Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Exsitec Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exsitec Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exsitec Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exsitec Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.