Franklin Covey Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FC Stock | USD 20.40 0.35 1.75% |
Franklin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Franklin Covey stock prices and determine the direction of Franklin Covey's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Franklin Covey's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Franklin Covey's stock price is about 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.11 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.32 | Wall Street Target Price 27.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.13 |
Using Franklin Covey hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Covey from the perspective of Franklin Covey response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Franklin Covey using Franklin Covey's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Franklin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Franklin Covey's stock price.
Franklin Covey Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Franklin Covey's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Franklin. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Franklin Covey stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.4097 | Short Percent 0.1251 | Short Ratio 8.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 17.1908 |
Franklin Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Franklin Covey on the next trading day is expected to be 19.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.76.Franklin Covey Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Franklin Covey's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Franklin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Franklin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Franklin Covey. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Franklin Covey's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Franklin Covey.
Franklin Covey Implied Volatility | 1.16 |
Franklin Covey's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Franklin Covey stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Franklin Covey's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Franklin Covey stock will not fluctuate a lot when Franklin Covey's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Franklin Covey on the next trading day is expected to be 19.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.76. Franklin Covey after-hype prediction price | USD 20.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Covey to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Franklin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Franklin Covey will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0725% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Franklin Covey trading at USD 20.4, that is roughly USD 0.0148 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Franklin Covey's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Franklin Covey options at the current volatility level of 1.16%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Franklin Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Franklin Covey's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Franklin Covey's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Franklin Covey stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Franklin Covey's open interest, investors have to compare it to Franklin Covey's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Franklin Covey is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Franklin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Franklin Covey Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Franklin Covey Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Franklin Covey's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1991-08-31 | Previous Quarter 31.7 M | Current Value 17.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 18.3 M |
Franklin Covey Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Franklin Covey on the next trading day is expected to be 19.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Covey's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Franklin Covey Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Franklin Covey | Franklin Covey Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Franklin Covey Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Franklin Covey's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin Covey's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.87 and 22.49, respectively. We have considered Franklin Covey's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Covey stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Covey stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5922 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3404 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0199 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.7631 |
Predictive Modules for Franklin Covey
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Covey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Covey's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Franklin Covey After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Franklin Covey at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Covey or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Franklin Covey, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Franklin Covey Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Franklin Covey's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin Covey's historical news coverage. Franklin Covey's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.34 and 22.96, respectively. We have considered Franklin Covey's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Franklin Covey is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin Covey is based on 3 months time horizon.
Franklin Covey Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Franklin Covey is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Covey backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Covey, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.81 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.40 | 20.15 | 0.50 |
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Franklin Covey Hype Timeline
As of January 29, 2026 Franklin Covey is listed for 20.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Franklin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Covey is about 6534.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.39. The company generated the yearly revenue of 267.07 M. Reported Net Income was 3.07 M with gross profit of 199.23 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Covey to cross-verify your projections.Franklin Covey Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Covey's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Covey's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Covey's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Covey may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PPIH | Perma Pipe International Holdings | 0.44 | 9 per month | 2.67 | (0) | 4.39 | (4.05) | 21.94 | |
| GENC | Gencor Industries | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.78 | (3.95) | 10.79 | |
| DSX | Diana Shipping | (0.01) | 11 per month | 1.99 | 0.14 | 6.51 | (3.41) | 13.41 | |
| SPCE | Virgin Galactic Holdings | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.00 | (7.11) | 27.80 | |
| PAMT | PAMT P | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.06 | (6.15) | 17.24 | |
| SHMD | SCHMID Group NV | (0.40) | 7 per month | 6.62 | 0.19 | 16.73 | (10.85) | 40.89 | |
| ROMA | Roma Green Finance | (0.37) | 5 per month | 6.85 | 0.08 | 29.11 | (10.13) | 76.33 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.05 | 10 per month | 3.52 | (0) | 6.44 | (4.75) | 15.40 | |
| RGP | Resources Connection | 0.07 | 11 per month | 3.52 | (0.02) | 4.80 | (4.06) | 21.08 | |
| FORR | Forrester Research | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.17 | (4.40) | 13.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Covey
For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Covey's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Covey's price trends.Franklin Covey Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin Covey stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin Covey could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin Covey by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin Covey Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin Covey stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin Covey shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin Covey stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin Covey entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Franklin Covey Risk Indicators
The analysis of Franklin Covey's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin Covey's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Variance | 7.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.06) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Franklin Covey
The number of cover stories for Franklin Covey depends on current market conditions and Franklin Covey's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin Covey is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin Covey's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Franklin Covey Short Properties
Franklin Covey's future price predictability will typically decrease when Franklin Covey's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Franklin Covey often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Franklin Covey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Covey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Covey to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Franklin Stock refer to our How to Trade Franklin Stock guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Will Research & Consulting Services sector continue expanding? Could Franklin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Franklin Covey. Market participants price Franklin higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Franklin Covey data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Earnings Share (0.12) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Franklin Covey requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Franklin's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Franklin Covey's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Franklin Covey's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Covey's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Covey is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Franklin Covey's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.