Franklin Covey Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FC Stock  USD 17.82  0.16  0.89%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Franklin Covey on the next trading day is expected to be 17.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.04. Franklin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Franklin Covey stock prices and determine the direction of Franklin Covey's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Franklin Covey's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Franklin Covey's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Franklin Covey's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin Covey, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Franklin Covey's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.075
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.25
Wall Street Target Price
27.3333
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.63
Using Franklin Covey hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Covey from the perspective of Franklin Covey response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Franklin Covey using Franklin Covey's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Franklin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Franklin Covey's stock price.

Franklin Covey Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Franklin Covey's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Franklin. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Franklin Covey stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
19.7959
Short Percent
0.1194
Short Ratio
7.9
Shares Short Prior Month
1.2 M
50 Day MA
16.26

Franklin Covey Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Franklin Covey's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Franklin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Franklin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Franklin Covey. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Franklin Covey's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Franklin Covey.

Franklin Covey Implied Volatility

    
  1.26  
Franklin Covey's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Franklin Covey stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Franklin Covey's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Franklin Covey stock will not fluctuate a lot when Franklin Covey's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Franklin Covey on the next trading day is expected to be 17.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.04.

Franklin Covey after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Covey to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Franklin Stock refer to our How to Trade Franklin Stock guide.At present, Franklin Covey's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 14.3 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 3.4 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Franklin Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Franklin Covey's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Franklin Covey's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Franklin Covey stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Franklin Covey's open interest, investors have to compare it to Franklin Covey's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Franklin Covey is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Franklin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Franklin Covey Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Franklin Covey is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Franklin Covey Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Franklin Covey on the next trading day is expected to be 17.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Covey's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Franklin Covey Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Franklin CoveyFranklin Covey Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Franklin Covey Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Franklin Covey's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin Covey's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.91 and 20.73, respectively. We have considered Franklin Covey's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.82
17.82
Expected Value
20.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Covey stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Covey stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0089
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0097
MADMean absolute deviation0.384
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors23.04
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Franklin Covey price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Franklin Covey. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Franklin Covey

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Covey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Covey's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9317.8420.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0421.9624.87
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.8727.3330.34
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.230.270.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Covey

For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Covey's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Covey's price trends.

Franklin Covey Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin Covey stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin Covey could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin Covey by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Franklin Covey Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Franklin Covey's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Franklin Covey's current price.

Franklin Covey Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin Covey stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin Covey shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin Covey stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin Covey entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Franklin Covey Risk Indicators

The analysis of Franklin Covey's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin Covey's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Covey to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Franklin Stock refer to our How to Trade Franklin Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Franklin Covey. If investors know Franklin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Franklin Covey listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
Earnings Share
0.24
Revenue Per Share
20.66
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Return On Assets
0.0308
The market value of Franklin Covey is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin Covey's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin Covey's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin Covey's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin Covey's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Covey's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Covey is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Covey's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.