First Citizens Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| FCNCA Stock | USD 2,006 2.11 0.11% |
First Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast First Citizens stock prices and determine the direction of First Citizens BancShares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of First Citizens' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of First Citizens' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 41.6507 | EPS Estimate Current Year 175.5239 | EPS Estimate Next Year 200.3951 | Wall Street Target Price 2.3 K |
Using First Citizens hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Citizens BancShares from the perspective of First Citizens response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Citizens using First Citizens' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Citizens' stock price.
First Citizens Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in First Citizens' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Citizens stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 1.9 K | Short Percent 0.0594 | Short Ratio 4.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 462.9 K | 50 Day MA 2.1 K |
First Relative Strength Index
First Citizens BancShares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to First Citizens' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Citizens BancShares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Citizens' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Citizens.
First Citizens Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
First Citizens' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Citizens BancShares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Citizens' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Citizens stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Citizens' options are near their expiration.
First Citizens after-hype prediction price | USD 2001.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Citizens to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current First contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that First Citizens BancShares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With First Citizens trading at USD 2005.87, that is roughly USD 0.44 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating First Citizens' daily price movement you should consider acquiring First Citizens BancShares options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 First Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast First Citizens' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in First Citizens' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for First Citizens stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current First Citizens' open interest, investors have to compare it to First Citizens' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of First Citizens is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in First. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
First Citizens Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 2481.43 | 0.0255 |
| Check First Citizens Volatility | Backtest First Citizens | Information Ratio |
First Citizens Trading Date Momentum
| On February 15 2026 First Citizens BancShares was traded for 2,006 at the closing time. The highest daily price throughout the period was 2,022 and the lowest price was 1,970 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on 02/15/2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current closing price is 0.26% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare First Citizens to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for First Citizens
For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Citizens' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Citizens' price trends.First Citizens Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Citizens stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Citizens could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Citizens by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Citizens Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Citizens stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Citizens shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Citizens stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Citizens BancShares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0255 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0409 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1995.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1999.13 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 51.61 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 11.16 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.11 |
First Citizens Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Citizens' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Citizens' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Variance | 3.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for First Citizens
The number of cover stories for First Citizens depends on current market conditions and First Citizens' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Citizens is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Citizens' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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First Citizens Short Properties
First Citizens' future price predictability will typically decrease when First Citizens' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Citizens BancShares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Citizens' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Citizens' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Citizens to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Citizens. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive First Citizens assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 7.95 | Earnings Share 165.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 |
Understanding First Citizens BancShares requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what First Citizens' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Citizens' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Citizens' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Citizens is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, First Citizens' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.