First Capital Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

First Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through First Capital price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

First Capital Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of First Capital Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 11.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.35.

First Capital Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest First Capital

First Capital Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

First Capital Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Capital pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Capital pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as First Capital Bancshares historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for First Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Capital Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 9.72 11.40 13.08 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 8.03 9.71 12.54 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 11.26 11.74 12.23 Details

First Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

First Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Capital Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

First Capital Hype Timeline

First Capital Bancshares is currently traded for 11.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Capital is about 7000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.40. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of June 2012. First Capital Bancshares had 1:3 split on the September 27, 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Capital to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade First Pink Sheet refer to our How to Trade First Pink Sheet guide.

First Capital Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for First Capital

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Capital's price trends.

First Capital Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

First Capital Market Strength Events

First Capital Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for First Capital

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in First Pink Sheet