Southern Banc Stock Price Patterns
| SRNN Stock | USD 10.62 0.12 1.14% |
Momentum 83
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southern Banc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Banc from the perspective of Southern Banc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Southern Banc to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Southern because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Southern Banc after-hype prediction price | USD 10.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southern |
Southern Banc After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern Banc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern Banc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Southern Banc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern Banc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern Banc's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern Banc's historical news coverage. Southern Banc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.39 and 11.85, respectively. We have considered Southern Banc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern Banc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern Banc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern Banc Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern Banc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern Banc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern Banc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.62 | 10.62 | 0.00 |
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Southern Banc Hype Timeline
Southern Banc is at this time traded for 10.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Southern is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern Banc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.62. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.31. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Southern Banc last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Southern Banc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Southern Banc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern Banc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern Banc's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern Banc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern Banc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CABB | California Business Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MFDB | Mutual Federal Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.69 | (0.83) | 8.75 | |
| FNFI | First Niles Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.99 | (4.83) | 16.08 | |
| USMT | US Metro Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.99 | (0.97) | 4.77 | |
| FCPB | First Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | (0.04) | 2.67 | (2.13) | 12.90 | |
| PNXPF | Planet Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.41 | 0.19 | 18.75 | (10.81) | 137.83 | |
| FSGB | 1st Federal Savings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.63 | 0.00 | 4.03 | |
| TDCB | Third Century Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.13 | 4.47 | (3.19) | 26.15 | |
| DPXCF | DelphX Capital Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.70 | 0.01 | 8.14 | (7.81) | 59.62 | |
| FPBC | Friendly Hills Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.39 | (0.10) | 0.78 | (0.98) | 5.29 |
Southern Banc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Southern Banc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Southern Banc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Southern Banc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Southern Banc based on analysis of Southern Banc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Southern Banc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Southern Banc's related companies.
Pair Trading with Southern Banc
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Southern Banc position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Southern Banc will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Southern Pink Sheet
Moving against Southern Pink Sheet
| 0.78 | HPQ | HP Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | DSKYF | Daiichi Sankyo | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | SZKMF | Suzuki Motor | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | MSFT | Microsoft | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | IBM | International Business | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | AXP | American Express | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Southern Banc could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Southern Banc when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Southern Banc - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Southern Banc to buy it.
The correlation of Southern Banc is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Southern Banc moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Southern Banc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Southern Banc can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Southern Pink Sheet
Southern Banc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southern with respect to the benefits of owning Southern Banc security.