Franklin Credit Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

FCRM Stock  USD 0.11  0.01  10.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Credit Management on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07. Franklin Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Franklin Credit - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Franklin Credit prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Franklin Credit price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Franklin Credit Mana.

Franklin Credit Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Credit Management on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000025, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Credit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Franklin Credit Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Franklin Credit Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Franklin Credit's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin Credit's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.21, respectively. We have considered Franklin Credit's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.11
0.11
Expected Value
4.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Credit pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Credit pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0012
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0108
SAESum of the absolute errors0.07
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Franklin Credit observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Franklin Credit Management observations.

Predictive Modules for Franklin Credit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Credit Mana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.114.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.094.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Credit

For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Credit's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Credit's price trends.

Franklin Credit Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin Credit pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin Credit could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin Credit by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Franklin Credit Mana Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Franklin Credit's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Franklin Credit's current price.

Franklin Credit Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin Credit pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin Credit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin Credit pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin Credit Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Franklin Credit Risk Indicators

The analysis of Franklin Credit's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin Credit's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Franklin Pink Sheet

Franklin Credit financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Credit security.