Freeport McMoran Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

FCX Stock  USD 56.05  1.64  3.01%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Freeport McMoran Copper Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 50.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.94. Freeport Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength momentum indicator of Freeport McMoran's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 93

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Freeport McMoran's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Freeport McMoran Copper Gold, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Freeport McMoran's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.278
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2171
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5442
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.311
Wall Street Target Price
50.52
Using Freeport McMoran hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freeport McMoran Copper Gold from the perspective of Freeport McMoran response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Freeport McMoran using Freeport McMoran's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Freeport using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Freeport McMoran's stock price.

Freeport McMoran Short Interest

An investor who is long Freeport McMoran may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Freeport McMoran and may potentially protect profits, hedge Freeport McMoran with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
41.6009
Short Percent
0.0196
Short Ratio
1.74
Shares Short Prior Month
22.4 M
50 Day MA
44.1398

Freeport McMoran Copper Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Freeport McMoran's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Freeport. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Freeport can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Freeport McMoran Copper Gold. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Freeport McMoran's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Freeport McMoran.

Freeport McMoran Implied Volatility

    
  0.41  
Freeport McMoran's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Freeport McMoran Copper Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Freeport McMoran's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Freeport McMoran stock will not fluctuate a lot when Freeport McMoran's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Freeport McMoran Copper Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 50.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.94.

Freeport McMoran after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 54.37  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freeport McMoran to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Freeport McMoran's Receivables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 0.89 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 2.28 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 2.3 B in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 834.6 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Freeport Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Freeport McMoran's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Freeport McMoran's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Freeport McMoran stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Freeport McMoran's open interest, investors have to compare it to Freeport McMoran's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Freeport McMoran is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Freeport. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Freeport McMoran Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Freeport price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freeport using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freeport charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Freeport McMoran price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Freeport McMoran Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Freeport McMoran Copper Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 50.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.15, mean absolute percentage error of 6.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 130.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Freeport Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Freeport McMoran's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Freeport McMoran Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Freeport McMoranFreeport McMoran Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Freeport McMoran Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Freeport McMoran's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Freeport McMoran's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.25 and 52.77, respectively. We have considered Freeport McMoran's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
56.05
50.51
Expected Value
52.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Freeport McMoran stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Freeport McMoran stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9903
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.1465
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0492
SAESum of the absolute errors130.9353
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Freeport McMoran Copper Gold historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Freeport McMoran

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freeport McMoran Copper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freeport McMoran's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.0654.3756.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.7255.0357.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
49.3552.3855.40
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.9750.5256.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Freeport McMoran

For every potential investor in Freeport, whether a beginner or expert, Freeport McMoran's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Freeport Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Freeport. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Freeport McMoran's price trends.

Freeport McMoran Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Freeport McMoran stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Freeport McMoran could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freeport McMoran by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Freeport McMoran Copper Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Freeport McMoran's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Freeport McMoran's current price.

Freeport McMoran Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Freeport McMoran stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Freeport McMoran shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Freeport McMoran stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Freeport McMoran Copper Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Freeport McMoran Risk Indicators

The analysis of Freeport McMoran's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freeport McMoran's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freeport stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Freeport Stock Analysis

When running Freeport McMoran's price analysis, check to measure Freeport McMoran's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freeport McMoran is operating at the current time. Most of Freeport McMoran's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freeport McMoran's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freeport McMoran's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freeport McMoran to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.