Computers Portfolio Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| FDCPX Fund | USD 143.89 0.12 0.08% |
Computers Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Computers Portfolio's share price is at 58. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Computers Portfolio, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Computers Portfolio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Computers Portfolio Puters from the perspective of Computers Portfolio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Computers Portfolio Puters on the next trading day is expected to be 145.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.42. Computers Portfolio after-hype prediction price | USD 143.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Computers |
Computers Portfolio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Computers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Computers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Computers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Computers Portfolio Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Computers Portfolio Puters on the next trading day is expected to be 145.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.55, mean absolute percentage error of 4.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Computers Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Computers Portfolio's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Computers Portfolio Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Computers Portfolio | Computers Portfolio Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Computers Portfolio Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Computers Portfolio's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Computers Portfolio's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 143.74 and 146.29, respectively. We have considered Computers Portfolio's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Computers Portfolio mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Computers Portfolio mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5076 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5479 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0115 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 94.4208 |
Predictive Modules for Computers Portfolio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Computers Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Computers Portfolio After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Computers Portfolio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Computers Portfolio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Computers Portfolio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Computers Portfolio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Computers Portfolio's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Computers Portfolio's historical news coverage. Computers Portfolio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 142.63 and 145.15, respectively. We have considered Computers Portfolio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Computers Portfolio is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Computers Portfolio is based on 3 months time horizon.
Computers Portfolio Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Computers Portfolio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Computers Portfolio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Computers Portfolio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
143.89 | 143.89 | 0.00 |
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Computers Portfolio Hype Timeline
Computers Portfolio is currently traded for 143.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Computers is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Computers Portfolio is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 143.89. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of April 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Computers Portfolio to cross-verify your projections.Computers Portfolio Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Computers Portfolio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Computers Portfolio's future price movements. Getting to know how Computers Portfolio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Computers Portfolio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FBSOX | It Services Portfolio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.64 | (2.22) | 4.77 | |
| FDFAX | Consumer Staples Portfolio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.01 | 1.25 | (0.98) | 3.00 | |
| FIDSX | Financial Services Portfolio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | (0.01) | 1.54 | (1.62) | 3.86 | |
| FEDDX | Fidelity Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.23 | 0.18 | 1.03 | (0.92) | 2.42 | |
| FCYIX | Industrials Portfolio Industrials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FHKCX | Fidelity China Region | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.04 | 1.60 | (1.22) | 4.38 | |
| DFGX | Dimensional Global ex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.50) | 0.23 | (0.32) | 0.74 | |
| GPIQ | Goldman Sachs Nasdaq 100 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | (0.06) | 1.21 | (1.67) | 4.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Computers Portfolio
For every potential investor in Computers, whether a beginner or expert, Computers Portfolio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Computers Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Computers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Computers Portfolio's price trends.Computers Portfolio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Computers Portfolio mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Computers Portfolio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Computers Portfolio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Computers Portfolio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Computers Portfolio mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Computers Portfolio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Computers Portfolio mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Computers Portfolio Puters entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 143.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 143.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.74 |
Computers Portfolio Risk Indicators
The analysis of Computers Portfolio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Computers Portfolio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting computers mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9458 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.08 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Computers Portfolio
The number of cover stories for Computers Portfolio depends on current market conditions and Computers Portfolio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Computers Portfolio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Computers Portfolio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Other Information on Investing in Computers Mutual Fund
Computers Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Computers Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Computers with respect to the benefits of owning Computers Portfolio security.
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