Frontier Developments Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| FDEV Stock | 420.50 9.00 2.19% |
Frontier Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Frontier Developments' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.82 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2685 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3043 | Wall Street Target Price 621.667 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.261 |
Using Frontier Developments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Frontier Developments Plc from the perspective of Frontier Developments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Frontier Developments Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 415.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 995.94. Frontier Developments after-hype prediction price | GBX 414.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Frontier |
Frontier Developments Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Frontier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Frontier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Frontier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Frontier Developments Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Frontier Developments Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 415.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.33, mean absolute percentage error of 420.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 995.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Frontier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Frontier Developments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Frontier Developments Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Frontier Developments | Frontier Developments Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Frontier Developments Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Frontier Developments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Frontier Developments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 412.83 and 418.11, respectively. We have considered Frontier Developments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Frontier Developments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Frontier Developments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.1524 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 16.327 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0339 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 995.9445 |
Predictive Modules for Frontier Developments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frontier Developments Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Frontier Developments After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Frontier Developments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Frontier Developments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Frontier Developments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Frontier Developments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Frontier Developments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Frontier Developments' historical news coverage. Frontier Developments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 411.94 and 462.55, respectively. We have considered Frontier Developments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Frontier Developments is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Frontier Developments Plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Frontier Developments Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Frontier Developments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Frontier Developments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Frontier Developments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.64 | 5.73 | 312.56 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
420.50 | 414.58 | 1.41 |
|
Frontier Developments Hype Timeline
Frontier Developments Plc is currently traded for 420.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -5.73, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 312.56. Frontier is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 414.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 17.03%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.41%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Frontier Developments is about 0.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 733.06. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Frontier Developments Plc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Frontier Developments to cross-verify your projections.Frontier Developments Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Frontier Developments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Frontier Developments' future price movements. Getting to know how Frontier Developments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Frontier Developments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BC94 | Samsung Electronics Co | 13.00 | 4 per month | 1.68 | 0.30 | 5.77 | (3.43) | 13.29 | |
| SMSD | Samsung Electronics Co | 15.00 | 7 per month | 1.76 | 0.27 | 5.44 | (3.79) | 12.16 | |
| SMSN | Samsung Electronics Co | 12.00 | 4 per month | 1.71 | 0.30 | 5.89 | (3.21) | 11.22 | |
| TYT | Toyota Motor Corp | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.12 | 3.26 | (2.29) | 10.55 | |
| 0LCV | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | (3.75) | 8 per month | 1.94 | 0.15 | 3.31 | (2.93) | 10.72 | |
| RIGD | Reliance Industries Limited | 0.80 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.43 | (2.57) | 6.17 | |
| 0R15 | SoftBank Group Corp | 6,720 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.41 | (9.95) | 109.63 | |
| KAP | National Atomic Co | 1.10 | 5 per month | 2.83 | 0.16 | 6.45 | (5.14) | 16.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Frontier Developments
For every potential investor in Frontier, whether a beginner or expert, Frontier Developments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Frontier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Frontier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Frontier Developments' price trends.Frontier Developments Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Frontier Developments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Frontier Developments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Frontier Developments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Frontier Developments Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Frontier Developments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Frontier Developments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Frontier Developments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Frontier Developments Plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Frontier Developments Risk Indicators
The analysis of Frontier Developments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Frontier Developments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting frontier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Variance | 6.96 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Frontier Developments
The number of cover stories for Frontier Developments depends on current market conditions and Frontier Developments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Frontier Developments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Frontier Developments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Frontier Developments Short Properties
Frontier Developments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Frontier Developments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Frontier Developments Plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Frontier Developments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frontier Developments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.5 M |
Additional Tools for Frontier Stock Analysis
When running Frontier Developments' price analysis, check to measure Frontier Developments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Frontier Developments is operating at the current time. Most of Frontier Developments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Frontier Developments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Frontier Developments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Frontier Developments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.