REX FANG Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

FEPI Etf   52.05  0.09  0.17%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of REX FANG Innovation on the next trading day is expected to be 50.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.40. REX Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of REX FANG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for REX FANG is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of REX FANG Innovation value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

REX FANG Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of REX FANG Innovation on the next trading day is expected to be 50.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict REX Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that REX FANG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

REX FANG Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest REX FANGREX FANG Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

REX FANG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting REX FANG's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. REX FANG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.96 and 51.83, respectively. We have considered REX FANG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.05
50.90
Expected Value
51.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of REX FANG etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent REX FANG etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6608
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3835
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0076
SAESum of the absolute errors23.3965
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of REX FANG Innovation. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict REX FANG. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for REX FANG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REX FANG Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.1552.0853.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.5351.4652.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.9452.0252.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for REX FANG

For every potential investor in REX, whether a beginner or expert, REX FANG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. REX Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in REX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying REX FANG's price trends.

REX FANG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with REX FANG etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of REX FANG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing REX FANG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

REX FANG Innovation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of REX FANG's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of REX FANG's current price.

REX FANG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how REX FANG etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading REX FANG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying REX FANG etf market strength indicators, traders can identify REX FANG Innovation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

REX FANG Risk Indicators

The analysis of REX FANG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in REX FANG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rex etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether REX FANG Innovation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of REX FANG's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rex Fang Innovation Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rex Fang Innovation Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of REX FANG to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
The market value of REX FANG Innovation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of REX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of REX FANG's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is REX FANG's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because REX FANG's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect REX FANG's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between REX FANG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if REX FANG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, REX FANG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.