Faraday Future Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

FFAI Stock   1.05  0.03  2.94%   
Faraday Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Faraday Future's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Faraday Future's share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Faraday Future, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Faraday Future's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Faraday Future Intelligent, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Faraday Future's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
157
Using Faraday Future hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Faraday Future Intelligent from the perspective of Faraday Future response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Faraday Future using Faraday Future's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Faraday using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Faraday Future's stock price.

Faraday Future Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Faraday Future's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Faraday. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Faraday Future stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
1.535
Short Percent
0.2094
Short Ratio
2.63
Shares Short Prior Month
38.2 M
50 Day MA
1.4816

Faraday Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Faraday Future Intelligent on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.71.

Faraday Future Intel Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Faraday Future's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Faraday. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Faraday can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Faraday Future Intelligent. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Faraday Future's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Faraday Future.

Faraday Future Implied Volatility

    
  2.29  
Faraday Future's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Faraday Future Intelligent stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Faraday Future's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Faraday Future stock will not fluctuate a lot when Faraday Future's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Faraday Future Intelligent on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.71.

Faraday Future after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Faraday Future to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Faraday Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Faraday Future's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Faraday Future's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Faraday Future stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Faraday Future's open interest, investors have to compare it to Faraday Future's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Faraday Future is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Faraday. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Faraday Future Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Faraday price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Faraday using various technical indicators. When you analyze Faraday charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Faraday Future Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Faraday Future's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
6.4 M
Current Value
6.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
121.6 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Faraday Future is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Faraday Future Intelligent value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Faraday Future Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Faraday Future Intelligent on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Faraday Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Faraday Future's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Faraday Future Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Faraday Future  Faraday Future Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Faraday Future Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Faraday Future's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Faraday Future's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.59, respectively. We have considered Faraday Future's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.05
1.00
Expected Value
5.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Faraday Future stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Faraday Future stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3201
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0444
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0394
SAESum of the absolute errors2.7075
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Faraday Future Intelligent. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Faraday Future. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Faraday Future

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Faraday Future Intel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.015.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.935.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Faraday Future. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Faraday Future's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Faraday Future's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Faraday Future Intel.

Faraday Future After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Faraday Future at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Faraday Future or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Faraday Future, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Faraday Future Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Faraday Future's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Faraday Future's historical news coverage. Faraday Future's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 5.62, respectively. We have considered Faraday Future's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.05
1.01
After-hype Price
5.62
Upside
Faraday Future is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Faraday Future Intel is based on 3 months time horizon.

Faraday Future Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Faraday Future is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Faraday Future backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Faraday Future, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39 
4.59
  0.01 
  0.03 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.05
1.01
0.98 
15,300  
Notes

Faraday Future Hype Timeline

Faraday Future Intel is currently traded for 1.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Faraday is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.98%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Faraday Future is about 5884.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.08. The book value of the company was currently reported as 1.61. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.48. Faraday Future Intel had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:40 split on the 19th of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Faraday Future to cross-verify your projections.

Faraday Future Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Faraday Future's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Faraday Future's future price movements. Getting to know how Faraday Future's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Faraday Future may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CJETChijet Motor Company(0.12)8 per month 0.00 (0.44) 7.89 (20.59) 67.78 
AIIORoboai Inc(0.05)5 per month 0.00 (0.18) 8.62 (16.18) 75.86 
CAASChina Automotive Systems(0.03)8 per month 1.72  0.04  3.27 (3.15) 11.14 
VRMVroom Common Stock 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 10.29 (7.54) 22.81 
MAMOMassimo Group Common 0.16 9 per month 6.65  0.06  8.86 (7.89) 38.09 
DIBS1StdibsCom(0.09)8 per month 2.13  0.26  9.58 (4.17) 23.12 
CLARClarus Corp(0.04)4 per month 2.29  0.06  4.42 (3.78) 18.58 
SORATop Win International 0.01 5 per month 0.00 (0.12) 5.01 (8.59) 48.61 
MEDMEDIFAST INC 0.44 10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.54 (3.67) 9.01 
BSETBassett Furniture Industries 0.50 8 per month 1.61  0.02  3.13 (3.24) 9.38 

Other Forecasting Options for Faraday Future

For every potential investor in Faraday, whether a beginner or expert, Faraday Future's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Faraday Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Faraday. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Faraday Future's price trends.

Faraday Future Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Faraday Future stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Faraday Future could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Faraday Future by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Faraday Future Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Faraday Future stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Faraday Future shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Faraday Future stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Faraday Future Intelligent entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Faraday Future Risk Indicators

The analysis of Faraday Future's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Faraday Future's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting faraday stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Faraday Future

The number of cover stories for Faraday Future depends on current market conditions and Faraday Future's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Faraday Future is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Faraday Future's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Faraday Future Short Properties

Faraday Future's future price predictability will typically decrease when Faraday Future's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Faraday Future Intelligent often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Faraday Future's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Faraday Future's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.1 M
When determining whether Faraday Future Intel is a strong investment it is important to analyze Faraday Future's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Faraday Future's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Faraday Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Faraday Future to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Faraday Future. If investors know Faraday will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Faraday Future listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
6.48
Revenue Per Share
0.023
Quarterly Revenue Growth
157
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(1.86)
The market value of Faraday Future Intel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Faraday that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Faraday Future's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Faraday Future's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Faraday Future's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Faraday Future's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Faraday Future's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Faraday Future is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Faraday Future's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.