ForFarmers Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| FFARM Stock | EUR 5.30 0.18 3.52% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ForFarmers NV on the next trading day is expected to be 5.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.60. ForFarmers Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ForFarmers stock prices and determine the direction of ForFarmers NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ForFarmers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of ForFarmers' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ForFarmers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ForFarmers NV from the perspective of ForFarmers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ForFarmers NV on the next trading day is expected to be 5.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.60. ForFarmers after-hype prediction price | EUR 5.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ForFarmers |
ForFarmers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ForFarmers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ForFarmers using various technical indicators. When you analyze ForFarmers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ForFarmers Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ForFarmers NV on the next trading day is expected to be 5.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ForFarmers Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ForFarmers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ForFarmers Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ForFarmers | ForFarmers Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ForFarmers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ForFarmers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ForFarmers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.03 and 6.95, respectively. We have considered ForFarmers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ForFarmers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ForFarmers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1772 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0742 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0162 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.6004 |
Predictive Modules for ForFarmers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ForFarmers NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ForFarmers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ForFarmers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ForFarmers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ForFarmers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ForFarmers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ForFarmers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ForFarmers' historical news coverage. ForFarmers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.84 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered ForFarmers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ForFarmers is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ForFarmers NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
ForFarmers Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ForFarmers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ForFarmers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ForFarmers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.30 | 5.30 | 0.00 |
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ForFarmers Hype Timeline
ForFarmers NV is currently traded for 5.30on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ForFarmers is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on ForFarmers is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.30. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ForFarmers NV last dividend was issued on the 20th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ForFarmers to cross-verify your projections.ForFarmers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ForFarmers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ForFarmers' future price movements. Getting to know how ForFarmers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ForFarmers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HEIJM | Koninklijke Heijmans NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.11 | 3.25 | (3.01) | 10.46 | |
| ACOMO | Amsterdam Commodities NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | (0.04) | 1.95 | (1.46) | 5.60 | |
| FLOW | Flow Traders BV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | 0.01 | 2.19 | (1.60) | 7.92 | |
| BAMNB | Koninklijke BAM Groep | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.67 | 0.11 | 3.31 | (2.64) | 10.07 | |
| PNL | PostNL NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 2.75 | (2.08) | 8.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for ForFarmers
For every potential investor in ForFarmers, whether a beginner or expert, ForFarmers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ForFarmers Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ForFarmers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ForFarmers' price trends.ForFarmers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ForFarmers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ForFarmers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ForFarmers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ForFarmers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ForFarmers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ForFarmers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ForFarmers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ForFarmers NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 9998.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.18 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.18 |
ForFarmers Risk Indicators
The analysis of ForFarmers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ForFarmers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting forfarmers stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8768 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7687 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ForFarmers
The number of cover stories for ForFarmers depends on current market conditions and ForFarmers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ForFarmers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ForFarmers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in ForFarmers Stock
ForFarmers financial ratios help investors to determine whether ForFarmers Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ForFarmers with respect to the benefits of owning ForFarmers security.