First Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

FFNWDelisted Stock  USD 22.56  0.11  0.49%   
First Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of First Financial's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling First Financial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Financial Northwest, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using First Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Financial Northwest from the perspective of First Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of First Financial Northwest on the next trading day is expected to be 22.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.00.

First Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

First Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for First Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of First Financial Northwest value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

First Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of First Financial Northwest on the next trading day is expected to be 22.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest First Financial  First Financial Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9952
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4098
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0193
SAESum of the absolute errors24.9963
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of First Financial Northwest. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict First Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for First Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Financial Northwest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5622.5622.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6118.6124.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.4022.6522.90
Details

First Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Financial's historical news coverage. First Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.56 and 22.56, respectively. We have considered First Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.56
22.56
After-hype Price
22.56
Upside
First Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Financial Northwest is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.56
22.56
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

First Financial Hype Timeline

First Financial Northwest is currently traded for 22.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.56. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.29. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Financial Northwest has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of April 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

First Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how First Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

First Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Financial Northwest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

First Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of First Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for First Financial

The number of cover stories for First Financial depends on current market conditions and First Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Financial Short Properties

First Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Financial Northwest often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.5 M
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Other Consideration for investing in First Stock

If you are still planning to invest in First Financial Northwest check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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