Fundamental Global Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

FGF Stock  USD 29.70  1.30  4.19%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fundamental Global on the next trading day is expected to be 30.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.20. Fundamental Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fundamental Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At this time, Fundamental Global's Fixed Asset Turnover is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Fundamental Global's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.43, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.64. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 379.7 K. The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (9.6 M).
Triple exponential smoothing for Fundamental Global - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Fundamental Global prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Fundamental Global price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Fundamental Global.

Fundamental Global Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fundamental Global on the next trading day is expected to be 30.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34, mean absolute percentage error of 4.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 79.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fundamental Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fundamental Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fundamental Global Stock Forecast Pattern

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Fundamental Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fundamental Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fundamental Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.55 and 38.65, respectively. We have considered Fundamental Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.70
30.10
Expected Value
38.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fundamental Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fundamental Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3488
MADMean absolute deviation1.3424
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0576
SAESum of the absolute errors79.2
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Fundamental Global observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Fundamental Global observations.

Predictive Modules for Fundamental Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fundamental Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.6129.1437.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.6023.1331.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.3124.0635.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fundamental Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fundamental Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fundamental Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fundamental Global.

Other Forecasting Options for Fundamental Global

For every potential investor in Fundamental, whether a beginner or expert, Fundamental Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fundamental Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fundamental. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fundamental Global's price trends.

Fundamental Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fundamental Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fundamental Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fundamental Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fundamental Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fundamental Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fundamental Global's current price.

Fundamental Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fundamental Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fundamental Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fundamental Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fundamental Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fundamental Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fundamental Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fundamental Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fundamental stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Fundamental Stock

Fundamental Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fundamental Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fundamental with respect to the benefits of owning Fundamental Global security.