Fiserv, Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

FI Stock  USD 221.76  0.20  0.09%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fiserv, on the next trading day is expected to be 223.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 99.29. Fiserv, Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fiserv,'s historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Fiserv,'s Inventory Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Fiserv,'s current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 8.06, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 13.30. . The Fiserv,'s current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 632.4 M. The Fiserv,'s current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 3.1 B.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Fiserv, works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Fiserv, Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fiserv, on the next trading day is expected to be 223.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65, mean absolute percentage error of 4.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 99.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fiserv, Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fiserv,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fiserv, Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fiserv,Fiserv, Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Fiserv, Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fiserv,'s Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fiserv,'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 222.08 and 224.17, respectively. We have considered Fiserv,'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
221.76
222.08
Downside
223.12
Expected Value
224.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fiserv, stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fiserv, stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3621
MADMean absolute deviation1.6549
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0085
SAESum of the absolute errors99.2929
When Fiserv, prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Fiserv, trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Fiserv, observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Fiserv,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiserv,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
221.45222.49223.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
192.50193.54243.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
207.68215.09222.50
Details
39 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
127.81140.45155.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Fiserv,

For every potential investor in Fiserv,, whether a beginner or expert, Fiserv,'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fiserv, Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fiserv,. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fiserv,'s price trends.

Fiserv, Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fiserv, stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fiserv, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fiserv, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fiserv, Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fiserv,'s price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fiserv,'s current price.

Fiserv, Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fiserv, stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fiserv, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fiserv, stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fiserv, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fiserv, Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fiserv,'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fiserv,'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fiserv, stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fiserv, to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Fiserv, Stock please use our How to Invest in Fiserv, guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fiserv,. If investors know Fiserv, will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fiserv, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
Earnings Share
5.18
Revenue Per Share
34.313
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.07
Return On Assets
0.0432
The market value of Fiserv, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fiserv, that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fiserv,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fiserv,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fiserv,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fiserv,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fiserv,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fiserv, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fiserv,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.