First Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

FIBH Stock  USD 43.40  0.10  0.23%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of First Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 45.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 117.84. First Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of First Bancshares' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Bancshares' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using First Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Bancshares from the perspective of First Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of First Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 45.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 117.84.

First Bancshares after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 43.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in First Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in First Bancshares guide.

First Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through First Bancshares price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

First Bancshares Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of First Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 45.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.93, mean absolute percentage error of 5.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 117.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

First Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest First BancsharesFirst Bancshares Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

First Bancshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting First Bancshares' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. First Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.71 and 48.09, respectively. We have considered First Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
43.40
45.40
Expected Value
48.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Bancshares pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Bancshares pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7271
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.9319
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0515
SAESum of the absolute errors117.8434
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as First Bancshares historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for First Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.7143.4046.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.6239.3147.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.7441.0449.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Bancshares.

First Bancshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of First Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Bancshares' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Bancshares' historical news coverage. First Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.71 and 46.09, respectively. We have considered First Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
43.40
43.40
After-hype Price
46.09
Upside
First Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Bancshares Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
2.69
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
43.40
43.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

First Bancshares Hype Timeline

First Bancshares is currently traded for 43.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Bancshares is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.40. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.63. First Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. The entity had 3:1 split on the 29th of December 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in First Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in First Bancshares guide.

First Bancshares Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how First Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CRZYCrazy Woman Creek 0.00 0 per month 0.85 (0.07) 1.65 (2.02) 7.49 
LOGNLogansport Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.92  0.02  1.56 (1.00) 9.11 
FBPIFirst Bancorp of 0.00 0 per month 0.28  0.07  1.41 (1.07) 5.19 
TBBATeb Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.52 (4.66) 25.88 
CIBNCommunity Investors Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.87 (0.01) 4.32 (3.93) 23.66 
JTNBJTNB Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.05  0.01  2.57 (2.50) 6.68 
SNNFSeneca Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.73 (0.02) 2.09 (1.23) 5.47 
CBHCCBC Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 0.00  0.00  5.97 
WVFCWVS Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.30 (0.03) 2.69 (2.39) 10.36 
MKINMCNB Banks 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 1.52 (1.44) 7.23 

Other Forecasting Options for First Bancshares

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Bancshares' price trends.

First Bancshares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Bancshares pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

First Bancshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Bancshares pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Bancshares pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify First Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

First Bancshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of First Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for First Bancshares

The number of cover stories for First Bancshares depends on current market conditions and First Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

First Bancshares Short Properties

First Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when First Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid715 K
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.3
Shares Float495.5 K

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in First Pink Sheet

When determining whether First Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Bancshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Bancshares Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in First Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in First Bancshares guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.